ServiceTitan Skyrockets 13.14%—Is This the Dawn of a New Bull Run?

Summary
• ServiceTitan (TTAN) surges 13.14% intraday, trading at $113.49 after opening at $112.17.
• Q2 2025 earnings call highlights and revised guidance fuel optimism, with a price target raised to $150.
• Turnover hits 2.97 million shares, with Bollinger Bands indicating a breakout from the $103.59 midline.

ServiceTitan’s explosive move has captured market attention, driven by robust Q2 results and upwardly revised guidance. The stock’s 13.14% surge—its largest intraday gain in months—reflects a confluence of earnings optimism and technical momentum. With the 52-week high at $131.33 still in reach, investors are weighing whether this is a sustainable rally or a short-term spike.

Q2 Earnings and Guidance Fuel ServiceTitan's Surge
ServiceTitan’s dramatic price action stems from its Q2 2025 earnings report, which highlighted stronger-than-expected revenue growth and a revised full-year outlook. The company’s management signaled improved customer acquisition efficiency and margin expansion, while analysts raised price targets to $150. Despite the sector’s mixed performance, TTAN’s stock surged on renewed confidence in its long-term value proposition, particularly in the SaaS space. The move aligns with broader market enthusiasm for AI-driven software plays, though Microsoft’s -2.9% decline in the Application Software sector suggests sector-wide volatility.

Application Software Sector Mixed as Microsoft Trails
The Application Software sector remains fragmented, with Microsoft (MSFT) down 2.9% despite ServiceTitan’s rally. While TTAN’s 13.14% gain outpaces most peers, the sector’s lack of cohesion highlights divergent investor sentiment. Microsoft’s decline, driven by macroeconomic concerns and AI competition, contrasts with ServiceTitan’s earnings-driven optimism. This divergence underscores the importance of company-specific fundamentals over sector-wide trends in TTAN’s case.

Options and ETFs to Capitalize on TTAN’s Momentum
• MACD: -1.76 (Signal Line: -1.77, Histogram: +0.01) suggests a narrowing bearish trend.
• RSI: 47.8 indicates neutral momentum, avoiding overbought/oversold extremes.
• Bollinger Bands: $109.42 (Upper), $103.59 (Middle), $97.77 (Lower) show a breakout above the midline.
• 30D Moving Average: $107.62 (below current price), signaling short-term strength.

For traders, TTAN’s technicals and options liquidity present opportunities. The stock’s 13.14% surge has pushed it above key resistance levels, with the 52-week high at $131.33 acting as a critical target. A bullish continuation could see the stock test $114.76 (intraday high) before facing broader resistance. The TTAN20250919C110 and TTAN20250919C115 options stand out for their high leverage and liquidity:

• TTAN20250919C110
- Strike Price: $110, Expiration: 2025-09-19
- IV: 38.82% (moderate), Leverage Ratio: 19.92% (high), Delta: 0.68 (moderate), Theta: -0.305 (high decay), Gamma: 0.040 (high sensitivity), Turnover: $197,068 (liquid)
- Payoff (5% upside): $6.97 per contract. This call offers aggressive exposure to a continuation of the rally, with high gamma amplifying gains if the stock breaks above $114.76.

• TTAN20250919C115
- Strike Price: $115, Expiration: 2025-09-19
- IV: 30.58% (moderate), Leverage Ratio: 50.48% (very high), Delta: 0.44 (moderate), Theta: -0.226 (high decay), Gamma: 0.056 (very high), Turnover: $77,138 (liquid)
- Payoff (5% upside): $4.20 per contract. This option balances leverage and liquidity, ideal for capitalizing on a push toward $131.33 while mitigating time decay risks.

Aggressive bulls should consider TTAN20250919C110 into a break above $114.76.

Backtest ServiceTitan Stock Performance
I attempted to identify every session since 2022 in which ServiceTitan (TTAN.O) gained at least 13 % from one close to the next. The data show only a single occurrence (on 2025-09-05). Because the event-backtest engine needs a minimum sample to calculate post-event statistics (drawdowns, average returns, etc.), it cannot complete the analysis with just one event; that’s why it returned an error.Two practical options:1. Lower the surge threshold (e.g., 10 % or 8 %) to capture more events and obtain meaningful statistics. 2. Keep the 13 % threshold but treat the result descriptively (single-event case) rather than running the quantitative back-tester.How would you like to proceed?

TTAN’s Rally Gains Legs—Act Now Before Volatility Shifts
ServiceTitan’s 13.14% surge reflects a rare alignment of earnings optimism and technical momentum, with the stock poised to test its 52-week high. While the Application Software sector remains mixed—Microsoft’s -2.9% decline highlights macro risks—TTAN’s fundamentals and options liquidity suggest a bullish near-term outlook. Investors should monitor the $114.76 intraday high as a critical pivot point; a break above this could trigger a retest of $131.33. Meanwhile, Microsoft’s performance will serve as a barometer for sector-wide sentiment. Act decisively on TTAN20250919C110 if $114.76 holds.