ServiceNow rose 4.16% during the latest trading session, closing at $996.18 with notably high volume of over 4 million shares. The session featured significant volatility, with price ranging between a low of $982 and a high of $1051 before settling near the day's midpoint. This price action occurs within the context of a broader uptrend but follows recent consolidation.
Candlestick Theory Today's session formed a bullish engulfing pattern, engulfing the prior day's small-bodied candle, suggesting potential reversal momentum after the consolidation around the $947-$960 support zone. The long upper wick reaching $1051 indicates substantial resistance at this psychological level, where profit-taking emerged. Key support now resides near $982 (today's low) and $947 (July 23rd low), while resistance is established at $1051, with $1037 (July high) acting as interim resistance.
Moving Average Theory Price remains firmly above the primary moving averages: the 50-day SMA (approximated at $983) and 200-day SMA (near $914), confirming the long-term uptrend. The 50-day moving average has consistently provided dynamic support throughout Q2 and Q3. Today’s close above the shorter-term 10-day EMA (~$970) reinforces near-term bullish bias. The convergence of the 50-day and 100-day SMAs indicates strengthening intermediate-term momentum.
MACD & KDJ Indicators The MACD histogram shows declining positive momentum despite recent price highs, forming a bearish divergence that warrants caution. However, today’s surge may trigger a bullish crossover. KDJ readings (K: 68, D: 62, J: 80) approach overbought territory (J-line exceeding 80), though not yet extreme. Divergence is emerging as price tested July highs while KDJ failed to reach equivalent peaks, indicating weakening upward momentum that could precede consolidation unless volume supports further upside.
Bollinger Bands Price breached the upper Bollinger Band ($1025) intraday but closed within the bands, reflecting rejection at the $1051 level. Band width expanded significantly today, signaling rising volatility after the July consolidation phase. The breakout above the mid-Band ($980) confirms bullish control short-term, but the stretch beyond the upper band increases probability of a pullback toward the 20-period average near $985.
Volume-Price Relationship Today’s 4.06 million shares traded represent the highest volume in over three months, validating the bullish breakout. The volume surge confirms conviction behind the upward move. However, note that prior resistance tests near $1050 (July 10-11) occurred on elevated volume (over 2 million shares), establishing this zone as a significant supply area. Sustained volume above average will be critical for overcoming this resistance.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) Daily RSI (14-period) calculates at 64, rising from yesterday's 58 but remaining below overbought thresholds. While not overextended, RSI has consistently formed lower highs since early July against price’s higher highs – a bearish divergence implying weakening momentum. This divergence suggests the rally requires increasing volume participation to sustain itself, with overbought conditions (RSI >70) likely to trigger profit-taking near the $1050 resistance.
Fibonacci Retracement Applying Fibonacci levels to the swing low of $755 (April 17) and high of $1051 (today) reveals critical thresholds: The 38.2% retracement at $928 aligns with the June consolidation zone and 200-day SMA. The 23.6% retracement ($1023) coincides with the July peak and serves as initial support after today’s rejection. Confluence exists at the 38.2% level ($928), where moving averages and prior swing lows converge, making it a high-probability support zone should a deeper pullback materialize.
Confluence & Divergence Observations Confluence is evident at $1050-$1051, where Bollinger Band resistance, the July peak, psychological resistance, and prior high-volume rejection align, creating a formidable barrier. Conversely, robust support sits between $980-$985 (today’s low, 10/50-day MAs, and Bollinger mid-band). Notable bearish divergence persists between price peaks and both MACD/RSI momentum oscillators across daily and weekly timeframes, suggesting underlying weakness. This divergence may limit upside without substantial volume confirmation, increasing near-term consolidation risk. Given the proximity to historical resistance and oscillators approaching overbought territory while exhibiting divergence, a pullback toward $1023 or $1000 appears probable before any decisive breakout attempt.
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