Serve Robotics Soars 15% on Strategic Expansion and AI Endorsements

Summary
• Serve Robotics (SERV) surges 15.07% intraday to $15.50, driven by a new Uber Eats partnership and Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s endorsement.
• Analysts at Northland Securities raised the price target to $26, signaling 66% upside potential.
• Two robotics acquisitions by Grab and Mobileye amplify sector momentum.

Today’s explosive move in Serve Robotics reflects a confluence of strategic partnerships, AI validation from industry giants, and sector consolidation. The stock’s intraday high of $16.08 and low of $13.89 underscore heightened volatility, fueled by institutional and retail investor speculation. With the 52-week high at $23.10, the rally positions SERV as a focal point in the AI-driven robotics revolution.

Strategic Alliances and AI Validation Ignite Serve Robotics
Serve Robotics’ 15.07% intraday surge stems from three pivotal catalysts: a partnership with Uber Eats to expand robotic delivery in Alexandria, Virginia; a $26 price target hike from Northland Securities; and Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s public endorsement at CES 2026. The Uber Eats collaboration, announced Thursday, marks a strategic expansion into urban delivery markets, leveraging Serve’s AI-powered robots to streamline logistics. Meanwhile, Huang’s praise—despite a pre-existing partnership—lends credibility to Serve’s technological edge. Compounding this, Grab’s acquisition of Infermove and Mobileye’s purchase of Mentee Robotics signal sector-wide consolidation, amplifying investor optimism about Serve’s competitive positioning.

Options Playbook: Leveraging Gamma and Theta for Short-Term Gains
• MACD: 0.314 (bullish divergence), Signal Line: -0.0157 (crossing zero), RSI: 69.70 (overbought but not extreme), Bollinger Bands: $13.82 (upper), $11.297 (middle), $8.77 (lower).
• 200-day MA: $10.54 (well below current price), 30-day MA: $11.23 (support level).

Technical indicators suggest a continuation of the bullish trend, with RSI near overbought territory and MACD forming a positive crossover. Key resistance lies at $16.08 (intraday high), while support is anchored at $13.89 (intraday low). The options chain reveals two high-conviction plays:

• SERV20260116C15 (Call, $15 strike, 1/16 expiration):
- IV: 89.78% (high volatility), Leverage Ratio: 13.29% (moderate), Delta: 0.6305 (moderate sensitivity), Theta: -0.0858 (rapid time decay), Gamma: 0.1722 (high sensitivity to price swings), Turnover: $611,975 (liquid).
- Payoff: At a 5% upside (target $16.28), payoff = $1.28 per contract. This option balances leverage and liquidity, ideal for capitalizing on a breakout above $16.08.

• SERV20260116C15.5 (Call, $15.5 strike, 1/16 expiration):
- IV: 84.07% (high volatility), Leverage Ratio: 18.29% (aggressive), Delta: 0.5391 (moderate sensitivity), Theta: -0.0800 (rapid decay), Gamma: 0.1934 (extreme sensitivity), Turnover: $20,574 (adequate liquidity).
- Payoff: At $16.28, payoff = $0.78 per contract. This contract offers higher leverage but requires a sharper price move to justify the premium paid.

Action: Aggressive bulls should prioritize SERV20260116C15 for a balanced risk-reward profile. If $16.08 breaks decisively, consider rolling into SERV20260116C16 for extended exposure.

Backtest Serve Robotics Stock Performance
The backtest of SERV's performance following a 15% intraday surge from 2022 to the present indicates positive short-to-medium-term gains, with the 3-Day, 10-Day, and 30-Day win rates all above 50%. The maximum return during the backtest period was 31.78%, which occurred on day 59, suggesting that while there is volatility, SERV can experience significant gains in the aftermath of such intraday events.

Serve Robotics at Inflection Point: Ride the AI-Powered Momentum
Serve Robotics’ 15% rally is underpinned by strategic partnerships, AI validation, and sector consolidation. The stock’s technical setup—RSI near overbought, MACD divergence, and a 52-week high of $23.10—suggests momentum remains intact. However, traders must monitor the $16.08 intraday high as a critical breakout level. If breached, the 200-day MA at $10.54 could act as a floor for further gains. Meanwhile, the sector leader Neurones (NRO) is up 0.52%, signaling broader AI optimism. Investors should prioritize SERV20260116C15 for short-term gains and watch for a potential $16.50 target by 1/16. Act now: Position for a breakout above $16.08 or tighten stops below $13.89 to lock in profits.