SEI's Path to $0.136: Is Now the Time to Buy the Bounce?

The cryptocurrency market's volatility has long been a double-edged sword for investors, offering both risk and reward in equal measure. For Sei (SEI), a layer-1 blockchain project, the path to $0.136-a price level that has emerged as a focal point for traders-hinges on a delicate interplay of technical price action and market structure. As of December 29, 2025, SEI's price dynamics reveal a critical juncture where key support and resistance levels could determine whether the asset sustains a bullish rebound or faces renewed bearish pressure.

Current Price Structure and Key Levels

SEI's price action in late December 2025 has been defined by a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers at pivotal levels. The $0.117 support and $0.1236 resistance form the immediate battleground for near-term momentum. According to technical analysis, $0.117 acts as a structural floor, with a breakdown below this level potentially triggering a retest of the $0.113 imbalance-a zone historically associated with downward pressure. Conversely, a sustained break above $0.1236 could propel the price toward $0.136, a target level that has been validated by Fibonacci extension projections and historical resistance clusters.

However, recent data introduces complexity. While some sources highlight $0.142 as a critical resistance level, others emphasize the $0.128–$0.133 support zone as a more immediate concern. This divergence underscores the importance of real-time price confirmation. For instance, if SEI consolidates near $0.1367-a level observed in late December-it may signal a bearish consolidation before a potential breakout. Traders must remain vigilant, as conflicting signals from indicators like the RSI and MACD suggest a market in flux.

Bullish Continuation Potential

A bullish case for SEI hinges on its ability to hold key support levels and generate follow-through buying above resistance. The $0.117 support, if defended, could serve as a catalyst for a rally toward $0.136. Historical data indicates that maintaining price above $0.14–$0.15 (S1) is essential for short-term recovery, with deeper support at $0.09–$0.10 (S2) acting as a final safety net. A successful breakout above $0.1236 would not only validate the $0.136 target but also signal a shift in market sentiment, potentially attracting institutional buyers and speculative capital.

Moreover, broader macroeconomic factors-such as anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts and geopolitical stability- could amplify risk-on sentiment, further supporting SEI's ascent. However, bullish momentum remains contingent on the asset avoiding a breakdown below $0.115, a level that has emerged as a point of contention among analysts.

Risks of a Retest and Strategic Entry Points

Despite the bullish narrative, risks persist. A failure to hold $0.117 could expose SEI to a retest of the $0.113 imbalance, a level that has historically acted as a psychological barrier for buyers. Data from late December 2025 shows the price trading near $0.11, with a 23.16% decline projected by December 15-a stark reminder of the asset's vulnerability. The Fear & Greed Index, currently at 27, reinforces this bearish bias, with 86% of traders adopting a cautious stance.

For investors considering long entries, timing is critical. A confirmed close above $0.1236-ideally with volume expansion-would present a high-probability setup for a move toward $0.136. Conversely, a breakdown below $0.115 may warrant profit-taking or hedging strategies, as the 200-day EMA at $0.34 remains a distant target.

Conclusion: Buy the Bounce or Wait?

SEI's path to $0.136 is neither guaranteed nor without peril. The asset's technical structure suggests a high-stakes scenario where buyers must defend $0.117 to avoid a deeper correction, while sellers aim to exploit weaknesses at $0.1236. For risk-tolerant investors, a strategic entry near $0.117-provided it holds-could offer a favorable risk-reward profile, with $0.136 as a near-term target.

However, given the bearish sentiment and conflicting signals from technical indicators, patience may be the wiser approach until clearer price confirmation emerges.

In the end, SEI's trajectory will depend on its ability to navigate these critical levels with conviction. For now, the market watches closely, waiting for the next move.