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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has introduced streamlined regulations for spot crypto ETF approvals, significantly accelerating the certification process for XRP-based products[1]. Under Rule 6c-11, cryptocurrencies with futures traded on
for at least six months are now automatically eligible for ETF listings, bypassing individual product reviews[4]. This shift has positioned as a focal point, with eleven spot ETF applications pending, including proposals from Grayscale, Bitwise, and WisdomTree[1]. Analysts project that approval could unlock billions in institutional inflows, potentially surpassing and in market impact[1].Grayscale’s XRP Trust, seeking conversion to an ETF, faces a final SEC decision by October 18, 2025[1]. Meanwhile, Franklin Templeton’s XRP ETF, with a 0.15% management fee, aims for a November 14, 2025 deadline[3]. The ProShares Ultra XRP ETF, the first approved application, launched on July 18, 2025, offering 2x leveraged exposure to XRP futures[1]. These developments follow Ripple’s legal victory, which clarified XRP’s status as a commodity rather than a security[2].
XRP’s price action reflects growing optimism. The token recently rose 1.53% to $3.0838, breaching the $3 threshold and testing resistance at $3.20 and $3.335[2]. Analysts anticipate a potential surge to $3.50 if bullish momentum persists, with longer-term targets at $7.80 if ETF approvals materialize[3]. Institutional adoption, including partnerships with Coinbase and Cboe BZX, is seen as a catalyst[3]. Conversely, setbacks like weak ETF inflows or regulatory delays could push XRP below $3[2].
The regulatory clarity has also spurred broader market speculation. Bloomberg analysts assign XRP ETFs a 95% approval probability, with potential domino effects for
, , and ETFs[3]. Additionally, XRP’s utility in cross-border payments—estimated to unlock $1 trillion in liquidity—has attracted institutional interest[4]. analysts highlight Ripple’s potential to disrupt SWIFT, reducing transaction costs by 60%[4].Market scenarios hinge on key catalysts. Positive outcomes include robust inflows into the REX-Osprey XRP ETF, SEC approvals, and Ripple securing a U.S. banking license[2]. Risks include political challenges to crypto legislation or delays in regulatory decisions[2]. The SEC’s generic listing standards, effective since September 2025, have already fast-tracked applications for products like the Grayscale Digital Large Cap ETF[2]. These changes mirror historical trends where generic rules for equity ETFs tripled launches, suggesting a surge in crypto ETF offerings is imminent[2].
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