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Analysts project mixed outcomes for The Scotts Miracle-GroSMG-- (SMG) in Q1 2026, with industry-wide challenges in the fertilizers and agricultural chemicals sector. The U.S. Chemicals Industry’s elevated PE ratio (71.8x) reflects optimism, but earnings growth has historically declined 36% annually over three years.
SMG’s Q4 2025 results ($387.4M revenue, -$151.8M net income) highlight margin pressures. Competitors like CF Industries and Albemarle show stronger momentum, with upgraded lithium and ammonia price assumptions. Analysts note SMG’s cost-cutting initiatives and potential margin recovery, but demand remains soft due to agricultural sector deferrals. Earnings forecasts for the fertilizers segment suggest 7.2% annual growth, though SMG’s execution risks and high debt burden could weigh on results.
In Q4 2025, SMGSMG-- reported revenue of $387.40 million, a net loss of $151.80 million, and EPS of -$2.63. Gross profit totaled $23.50 million, reflecting significant margin compression. The results underscore ongoing challenges in managing input costs and demand volatility, with the company’s performance trailing industry peers.
Recent news highlights shareholder caution regarding SMG’s CEO compensation structure, with conservative adjustments expected to align with performance metrics. No major product launches, M&A activity, or operational updates were reported for SMG in the provided data.
SMG’s Q4 2025 results indicate weak financial health, with declining revenue and profitability. While cost management and potential agricultural demand recovery could act as growth catalysts, risks include persistent input cost inflation and sector-wide margin pressures. The company’s ability to execute on cost actions and stabilize its core business will determine its 2026 outlook. A bearish stance is warranted due to historical underperformance and uncertain market conditions.
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