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OpenAI's CEO, Sam Altman, expressed his vision for the "Intelligence Age" in a recent blog post. He emphasized the potential of AI to accelerate human progress and anticipated the emergence of superintelligence within the next decade.
Altman predicted that "superintelligence" could be realized in just a few thousand days, though he acknowledged it might take longer. His confidence stems from the belief that we are at the dawn of the "Intelligence Age," a revolutionary period in human history akin to the Stone, Agricultural, and Industrial Ages.
OpenAI aims to develop artificial general intelligence (AGI), which can complete various tasks without needing specific training, matching human-level intelligence. In contrast, superintelligence would surpass human intelligence significantly, handling tasks far beyond our current capabilities.
Altman envisions AI as powerful assistants forming "personal AI teams," facilitating breakthroughs in education, healthcare, software development, and more. Success in deep learning is seen as the catalyst for this new era.
He argues that success in AI requires substantial resources, prompting the need to reduce computational costs and expand infrastructure. Without adequate foundations, AI might become a scarce resource, accessible only to the wealthy.
While Altman highlights the transformative potential of AI, he acknowledges the need for careful management of its societal impacts, including changes to the labor market. However, he remains optimistic, suggesting the overall benefits of AI will significantly enhance life quality worldwide.
Reflecting on historical technological advancements, Altman believes AI's development will lead to remarkable achievements, such as solving climate issues and establishing space colonies, driven by abundant intelligence and energy.
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