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• Price action showed a bullish breakout in late trading, closing near 2.22 after a 2.177 intraday low.
• RSI and MACD suggested growing momentum with no immediate overbought signals.
• Bollinger Bands expanded, indicating rising volatility and potential for continuation or consolidation.
• Trading volume surged above 80,000, confirming the strength of the late-session rally.
• Fibonacci levels highlighted potential support at 2.2 and 2.195; resistance at 2.22 and 2.23.
AS Roma Fan Token/Tether (ASRUSDT) opened at 2.178 on 2025-09-23 12:00 ET, reached a high of 2.236, a low of 2.153, and closed at 2.206 on 2025-09-24 12:00 ET. Total trading volume for the 24-hour period was approximately 83,976 units, with a notional turnover of $178,883 based on average pricing.
The 15-minute OHLCV data revealed a volatile session, especially in the late hours of 2025-09-24, where the price surged from 2.2 to 2.236 in just two hours. A strong bullish continuation pattern emerged with a gap-up move and a long upper shadow in the 02:00–02:15 ET candle. Support levels appeared to hold at 2.197 and 2.188, while resistance levels were tested and briefly broken at 2.22, 2.23, and 2.236. A large bullish engulfing pattern emerged around 02:00–02:15 ET, confirming a shift in sentiment.
Key support levels are identified at 2.197 (61.8% Fib of the 2.2–2.236 move) and 2.188 (38.2% Fib of the 2.174–2.208 move), with the nearest resistance at 2.22 and 2.236. The 20-period moving average (2.201) and the 50-period moving average (2.206) showed a bullish crossover, suggesting upward bias. The Bollinger Bands widened significantly during the breakout, indicating increased volatility and potentially setting the stage for a trend continuation or reversal depending on volume sustainability.
RSI remained in the 50–65 range during the bullish leg, suggesting moderate to strong momentum without reaching overbought territory. MACD showed a positive crossover and a rising histogram, reinforcing bullish sentiment. However, a divergence between price and RSI at the peak of 2.236 may hint at a short-term pullback. Volume spiked in the late hours, particularly after 02:00 ET, confirming the breakout’s strength.
A potential continuation of the bullish trend is likely if the price remains above 2.197. A break below this level could trigger a retest of 2.188 and 2.174. Traders should also monitor the 2.22 and 2.236 levels, where a consolidation or breakout could signal the next major move. Investors should watch for signs of divergences in RSI and MACD if the price stalls near the upper band, as this may indicate a temporary top.
Backtest Hypothesis
A simple moving average crossover strategy—using the 20-period and 50-period MAs—could be effective in this context. A long signal is generated when the 20-period MA crosses above the 50-period MA, which occurred during the 02:00–02:30 ET window. This aligns with the observed bullish engulfing pattern and strong volume confirmation. A stop-loss could be placed just below the 2.197 support level to manage risk. Given the current momentum and volume dynamics, this setup appears to have a high probability of success in the next 24 hours, assuming the trend holds.
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