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Summary
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Rocket Lab’s stock is trading at its highest level since late 2024, driven by a perfect 18/18 Electron launch record in 2025 and rapid progress on its Neutron rocket. With a 6.02% intraday gain and $20.8M turnover, the stock’s surge reflects investor confidence in the company’s operational execution and technological edge in small satellite launches.
Record Launch Cadence and Neutron Progress Ignite Investor Optimism
Rocket Lab’s 6.02% rally is anchored by its Q3 earnings report, which highlighted a 48% year-over-year revenue increase to $50.3M and a $1.1B backlog. The company’s 18 successful Electron launches in 2025—up 60% from 2024—underscore its leadership in small satellite deployment. Meanwhile, the Neutron rocket’s ‘Hungry Hippo’ fairing, which reuses components to reduce costs, completed qualification testing, positioning Rocket Lab to compete directly with SpaceX in the medium-launch market. Analysts cite these milestones as catalysts for renewed bullish sentiment.
Aerospace & Defense Sector Mixed as Rocket Lab Outpaces Peers
While Rocket Lab’s 6.02% gain dominates headlines, the broader Aerospace & Defense sector remains fragmented. Sector leader Lockheed Martin (LMT) edged up 0.125%, reflecting modest defense spending optimism. However, peers like Blue Origin and Virgin Galactic remain stagnant, highlighting Rocket Lab’s unique momentum tied to commercial space infrastructure growth. The stock’s 2.21 beta underscores its sensitivity to sector volatility, but its 122.40% YTD return far outpaces the S&P 500’s 16.27%.
Options Playbook: High-Leverage Calls and Strategic Puts for RKLB’s Volatile Move
• RSI: 71.79 (overbought)
• MACD: -1.13 (bullish crossover)
• 200D MA: $37.87 (well below current price)
• Bollinger Bands: Upper $53.47, Middle $45.05, Lower $36.63
Rocket Lab’s technicals suggest a continuation of its bullish trend. The stock is trading above its 200D MA and within a short-term bullish Kline pattern. Key resistance lies at the 52W high of $73.97, while support is near $45.05. For aggressive traders, the call and put offer high leverage and liquidity.
RKLB20251219C55 (Call):
• Code: RKLB20251219C55
• Strike: $55
• Expiry: 2025-12-19
• IV: 92.22% (high volatility)
• Delta: 0.61 (moderate sensitivity)
• Theta: -0.2926 (rapid time decay)
• Gamma: 0.04428 (strong price sensitivity)
• Turnover: $2.02M
• Leverage: 13.03%
• Payoff (5% upside): $3.30 per contract
This call benefits from high IV and liquidity, ideal for a continuation of the 6.02% rally.
RKLB20251219P58 (Put):
• Code: RKLB20251219P58
• Strike: $58
• Expiry: 2025-12-19
• IV: 97.89% (extreme volatility)
• Delta: -0.52 (strong bearish bias)
• Theta: -0.0414 (slow decay)
• Gamma: 0.043365 (moderate sensitivity)
• Turnover: $21.7K
• Leverage: 13.03%
• Payoff (5% upside): $0.83 per contract
This put offers downside protection if the rally falters, though its high IV may erode value quickly.
Aggressive bulls should consider RKLB20251219C55 into a break above $58.15, while cautious traders may hedge with RKLB20251219P58.
Backtest Rocket Lab Stock Performance
The backtest of RKLB's performance following a 6% intraday increase from 2022 to the present shows impressive results. The strategy achieved a 364.63% return, significantly outperforming the benchmark, which returned 48.70%. The excess return generated was 315.93%, indicating that the strategy's focus on intraday percentage changes effectively captured market movements. The CAGR was 48.26%, and the Sharpe ratio was 0.58, suggesting that the risk-adjusted return was favorable. However, the maximum drawdown was 0.00%, which could imply that the strategy did not experience any significant losses during the backtest period.
RKLB’s Momentum Unstoppable – Lock in Gains or Ride the Wave?
Rocket Lab’s 6.02% surge is underpinned by operational excellence and technological differentiation. With 18 Electron launches in 2025 and Neutron’s reusable fairing nearing deployment, the stock’s fundamentals are robust. Technically, the RSI at 71.79 and MACD crossover suggest a continuation of the rally. Investors should monitor the $58.15 intraday high as a critical resistance level. Meanwhile, sector leader Lockheed Martin (LMT) remains flat at +0.125%, underscoring Rocket Lab’s unique growth trajectory. For those seeking action, RKLB20251219C55 offers high leverage if the stock breaks above $58.15, while RKLB20251219P58 provides a safety net. Watch for a $58.15 breakout or a pullback to $45.05 to dictate next steps.

TickerSnipe provides professional intraday stock analysis using technical tools to help you understand market trends and seize short-term trading opportunities.

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