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The global market for vision-threatening diseases is undergoing a transformative phase, driven by an aging population, rising diabetes prevalence, and advancements in therapeutic innovation. According to a report by Markets and Markets, the ophthalmology drugs market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.1%, reaching $26.28 billion by 2030 [1]. Within this, the diabetic retinopathy segment is expected to expand at a faster pace, with a CAGR of 7.6%, driven by improved screening programs and diagnostic technologies [2]. Meanwhile, the retinal biologics market—encompassing therapies for conditions like age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and diabetic macular edema (DME)—is anticipated to surge from $27 billion in 2025 to $53.61 billion by 2034, reflecting a CAGR of 7.92% [5]. These figures underscore a compelling long-term investment opportunity, particularly for companies like Roche, which are pioneering innovative solutions in this high-growth space.
Roche’s Vabysmo (faricimab) has emerged as a cornerstone of its ophthalmology portfolio, challenging established players like Regeneron’s Eylea. Data from Roche’s Q3 2024 earnings report reveals that Vabysmo generated global sales of CHF 2.8 billion in the first nine months of 2024, with a staggering 108% year-over-year increase in Q1 2024, reaching $933 million [1]. This growth is not merely a function of market share capture but is underpinned by robust clinical evidence.
Clinical trials have demonstrated Vabysmo’s ability to extend treatment intervals while maintaining efficacy. In the SALWEEN study for polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy (PCV), a subtype of neovascular
(nAMD), patients achieved an average gain of 8.9 letters in best-corrected visual (BCVA) over 48 weeks, with over 60% showing complete resolution of polypoidal lesions [1]. For DME, the RHONE-X study reported that 90% of patients achieved absence of DME after four years, defined by central subfield thickness (CST) below 325 microns [2]. These outcomes highlight Vabysmo’s durability and its potential to reduce the treatment burden for patients, a critical differentiator in a market where adherence to frequent injections remains a challenge.Roche’s Susvimo, a refillable ocular implant for wet AMD, represents a paradigm shift in retinal therapy. After a voluntary recall in 2022 due to dislodgement issues, the product was reintroduced in July 2024 with design modifications that enhanced safety and performance [3]. The implant delivers a customized formulation of ranibizumab over time, requiring only two refills per year compared to monthly injections. Clinical trials, including the Phase III Pagoda study, demonstrated that Susvimo maintained vision in patients with as few as two refills annually [3]. In 2025, the FDA expanded its approval to include DME, further broadening its therapeutic footprint [2].
This innovation addresses a critical unmet need in ophthalmology: the need for sustained drug delivery systems that improve patient compliance and reduce healthcare costs. With the global burden of AMD and DME expected to rise, Susvimo’s ability to offer a less frequent treatment regimen positions Roche to capture a significant share of the market.
Roche’s ophthalmology portfolio is not only capitalizing on current market dynamics but also shaping the future of retinal care. The company’s dual focus on Vabysmo and Susvimo creates a complementary ecosystem: Vabysmo offers a high-efficacy, long-acting biologic, while Susvimo provides a durable delivery system. Together, they address both the therapeutic and logistical challenges of managing chronic eye diseases.
From an investment perspective, Roche’s position is further strengthened by the broader market tailwinds. The diabetic retinopathy market alone is projected to reach $13.9 billion by 2030 [2], and Roche’s expansion into DME with Susvimo aligns with this trend. Additionally, the company’s clinical pipeline, including trials for underrepresented populations (e.g., the ELEVATUM study, which showed 14.1-letter BCVA gains in Hispanic and Latino patients with DME [4]), underscores its commitment to inclusive innovation—a factor that is increasingly valued by investors and regulators alike.
However, risks remain. Competition from Regeneron’s Eylea and emerging therapies from smaller biotechs could pressure margins. Moreover, the success of Susvimo hinges on patient and physician adoption of its implantable technology, which requires education and infrastructure. Yet, given the market’s growth trajectory and Roche’s first-mover advantage in key indications, these challenges appear manageable.
Roche’s ophthalmology portfolio, anchored by Vabysmo and Susvimo, represents a high-conviction investment opportunity in a sector poised for sustained growth. The company’s ability to deliver both innovative therapeutics and novel delivery systems positions it to lead the transition from traditional monthly injections to longer-acting, patient-centric solutions. As the global burden of vision-threatening diseases escalates, Roche’s strategic focus on durability, efficacy, and accessibility will likely translate into robust revenue growth and long-term shareholder value.
Source:
[1] Ophthalmology Drugs Market Size & Growth Forecast to 2030 [https://www.marketsandmarkets.com/Market-Reports/ophthalmology-drugs-market-132608438.html]
[2] Diabetic Retinopathy Market Size ($13.9 Billion) 2030 [https://www.strategicmarketresearch.com/market-report/diabetic-retinopathy-market]
[3] Roche Reintroduces Susvimo Wet AMD Eye Implant After Recall [https://xtalks.com/roche-reintroduces-susvimo-wet-amd-eye-implant-after-recall-3721/]
[4] AAO 2024: Roche's Vabysmo improved vision in underrepresented populations with DME [https://www.ophthalmologytimes.com/view/aao-2024-roche-s-vabysmo-improved-vision-in-underrepresented-populations-with-dme]
[5] Retinal Biologics Market Size Captures USD 53.61 Billion [https://www.towardshealthcare.com/insights/retinal-biologics-market-sizing]
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