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Risk Becomes a Safe Haven in Volatile Debt Market

Julian WestSaturday, Jan 25, 2025 3:41 pm ET
4min read


In the face of extreme market volatility, investors often seek refuge in safe-haven assets. Traditionally, these have been cash, government bonds, and certain defensive stocks. However, as the debt market becomes increasingly volatile, investors are finding that risk itself can become a safe haven. This article explores how investors can profit from rising volatility in the debt market and the potential risks and rewards associated with these strategies.



Trading Volatility-Linked ETFs or ETNs

One way to profit from rising volatility in the debt market is to trade ETFs or ETNs that track a volatility index. These products increase in value when volatility goes up, allowing investors to take a directional bet on volatility itself. For example, the iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) and the ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (VIXY) are popular choices for investors looking to gain exposure to rising volatility.



However, it is essential to remember that these products are not intended to be long-term investments and can be volatile themselves. They may not track the underlying index perfectly, and their performance can be affected by changes in the shape of the volatility curve.

Buying Options Contracts

Another strategy for profiting from rising volatility in the debt market is to buy options contracts. Options prices are closely linked to volatility and will increase along with volatility. Investors can buy options contracts to profit from rising volatility in addition to hedging their downside. A popular strategy for profiting from rising volatility is to buy a straddle or a strangle, which involves simultaneously buying a call and a put on the same underlying and for the same expiration. If prices move a great deal, either strategy can increase in value.



However, options are derivatives, and their prices can be affected by various factors, such as changes in interest rates, dividends, and time decay. Additionally, options can expire worthless if the underlying asset's price does not move as expected.

Non-Directional Investing

Non-directional equity investors attempt to take advantage of market inefficiencies and relative pricing discrepancies, rather than relying on the markets to move consistently in one direction. Pair trading is an example of a non-directional investing strategy. This involves taking offsetting positions in two highly correlated assets, such as two stocks in the same sector. When the price relationship between the two assets deviates from its historical norm, the investor can profit by closing the position.

Non-directional investing strategies can be complex and may require sophisticated analysis and monitoring. Additionally, these strategies may not be suitable for all investors, as they can involve significant risk and require a high degree of skill and experience.

In conclusion, investors can profit from rising volatility in the debt market by trading volatility-linked ETFs or ETNs, buying options contracts, or engaging in non-directional investing. However, these strategies come with their own set of risks and rewards, and investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment goals before implementing them. By understanding the potential risks and rewards associated with these strategies, investors can make informed decisions and navigate the volatile debt market more effectively.
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