The Rise of Perpetual Futures in India: A Structural Shift in Crypto Trading

Generated by AI AgentEvan Hultman
Wednesday, Sep 10, 2025 9:08 am ET2min read
Speaker 1
Speaker 2
AI Podcast:Your News, Now Playing
Aime RobotAime Summary

- India's crypto market is shifting to perpetual futures, now accounting for 70–80% of 2025 trading volume due to tax arbitrage and leverage.

- Tax rules favor futures gains (taxed as income) over spot trades (1% TDS + 30% VDA tax), driving mass migration to futures markets.

- Platforms like Mudrex and Giottus offer 50x leverage and zero-fee promotions, accelerating adoption while intensifying exchange competition.

- India's structural shift mirrors global trends, with Hyperliquid and Binance processing $398B–$2.8T in derivatives, cementing its role as a crypto derivatives testbed.

India's cryptocurrency market is undergoing a seismic structural shift, driven by the explosive growth of perpetual futures trading. What was once a niche product for sophisticated traders has now become the backbone of India's crypto ecosystem, accounting for 70–80% of total trading volume in 2025Crypto futures overtake spot deal; Eternal’s tax woes[1]. This shift is not merely a function of market sentiment but a calculated response to India's evolving tax regime, leverage dynamics, and the aggressive competition among exchanges. As platforms like Mudrex, Giottus, and global giants such as Binance and Hyperliquid vie for dominance, India is fast becoming a bellwether for the future of crypto derivatives.

Tax Arbitrage: The Catalyst for Structural Change

The Indian government's 2025 tax regulations have created a stark divergence in how spot and futures trading are treated. Spot transactions trigger a 1% tax deducted at source (TDS) on every trade, while gains are taxed at a flat 30% virtual digital assets (VDA) rateCrypto futures overtake spot deal; Eternal’s tax woes[1]. In contrast, perpetual futures gains are classified as income, allowing traders to exploit lower tax brackets and deductions. This regulatory asymmetry has incentivized a mass migration to futures markets, where traders can defer tax liabilities and leverage arbitrage opportunities.

For instance, the cash-and-carry arbitrage strategy—buying spot assets at a discount and shorting overpriced futures—has become a staple for Indian tradersCrypto futures overtake spot deal; Eternal’s tax woes[1]. This mirrors traditional commodity markets but is amplified by the absence of immediate tax triggers. The Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) has taken notice, with ongoing investigations into crypto derivatives and cross-border tradesCrypto futures overtake spot deal; Eternal’s tax woes[1]. Yet, the regulatory uncertainty has not deterred traders; instead, it has created a race to capitalize on market inefficiencies before rules tighten.

Leverage and Liquidity: The Twin Engines of Growth

Perpetual futures offer up to 50x leverage, enabling traders to amplify returns with minimal capital outlayCrypto futures overtake spot deal; Eternal’s tax woes[1]. This has democratized access to high-risk, high-reward strategies, particularly in a market like India, where retail investors dominate. Platforms such as Mudrex have capitalized on this demand, reporting that futures trading volumes are 4–5X higher than spot tradingCrypto futures overtake spot deal; Eternal’s tax woes[1]. The platform's competitive fee structure (0.03–0.05%) further cements its appealBetter cost control, higher volumes to drive profit in FY 13[2].

Meanwhile, Giottus has entered the fray with a zero-fee offer for perpetual futures until September 30, 2025, coupled with 10x leverageGiottus Launches Zero-Fee Crypto Futures for Indian Traders[3]. This aggressive pricing strategy underscores the cutthroat competition among Indian exchanges. By reducing barriers to entry, Giottus and others are accelerating the shift to futures, where liquidity and leverage create a self-reinforcing cycle of growth.

Global Context: India's Role in the Derivatives Ecosystem

India's surge in perpetual futures is part of a broader global trend. On Hyperliquid, a decentralized exchange (DEX), perpetual futures volume hit $398.14B in September 2025, while Binance processed $2.8T in derivatives trading during the same periodLeading perpetual futures DEX Hyperliquid teases native ...[4]. These figures highlight the growing dominance of derivatives in both centralized and decentralized markets.

Hyperliquid's 70–80% share of the decentralized perpetual futures market mirrors India's domestic shiftWill Crypto Payroll Become the Industry Standard?[5], suggesting that the structural advantages of futures—leverage, tax efficiency, and liquidity—are universally appealing. Binance's ETH/USDT pair alone recorded $17.2B in 24-hour volume, dwarfing Hyperliquid's ETH/USD activityLeading perpetual futures DEX Hyperliquid teases native ...[4]. Yet, the latter's focus on price discovery and decentralized infrastructure positions it as a key player in the next phase of crypto derivatives.

The Future of Crypto Derivatives: India as a Testbed

India's unique regulatory environment and trader behavior make it a critical testbed for the future of crypto derivatives. The Pi42 exchange, which offers INR-margined perpetual futures, exemplifies how local innovation can address specific market needs, such as avoiding

conversionsCrypto futures overtake spot deal; Eternal’s tax woes[1]. Similarly, global platforms like CoinDCX and Delta Exchange are refining their fee structures and leverage ratios to stay competitiveCrypto futures overtake spot deal; Eternal’s tax woes[1].

However, the rapid growth of futures trading also raises red flags. The CBDT's scrutiny of cross-border arbitrage and the potential for regulatory tightening could disrupt current dynamicsCrypto futures overtake spot deal; Eternal’s tax woes[1]. Traders and platforms must balance innovation with compliance, a challenge that will define the next phase of India's crypto evolution.

Conclusion

India's crypto market is no longer a peripheral player but a central force in the global derivatives landscape. The 70–80% shift to perpetual futures is a structural, not cyclical, change driven by tax arbitrage, leverage, and exchange competition. As platforms like Mudrex, Giottus, and global DEXs vie for dominance, India's experience will offer valuable lessons for regulators and investors worldwide. The future of crypto derivatives is here—and it's being shaped in Mumbai, Bangalore, and beyond.