Ripple Forecasts 10% Tokenization by 2030, Driven by Digital Asset Custody Growth

Ripple forecasts 10% of global assets to be tokenized by 2030, driven by digital asset custody growth, with projected crypto assets under custody reaching $16 trillion. The company's custody services, including enterprise-grade key management and institutional partnerships, are expected to support the growth of tokenized securities and stablecoins. The XRPL Credentials amendment also plays a key role in enhancing compliance and reducing friction for businesses seeking to use compliant settlement rails.

Ripple has forecasted that by 2030, 10% of global assets will be tokenized, driven by the growth of digital asset custody. According to Ripple, this could amount to $16 trillion in crypto assets under custody, highlighting the potential for significant growth in tokenized securities and stablecoins [1].

The company's custody services, including enterprise-grade key management and institutional partnerships, are expected to play a crucial role in supporting this growth. Ripple's XRPL Credentials amendment also aims to enhance compliance and reduce friction for businesses seeking to use compliant settlement rails [1].

This forecast comes at a time when the global economy is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 6.69% since 2020. If this pace continues, the global GDP could reach $164 trillion by 2030. Should 10% of that total become tokenized, the tokenization market would be worth about $16.4 trillion by 2030 [1].

The XRP Ledger (XRPL) is seen as a strong candidate to capture a significant portion of this market. If the ledger secures just 15% of tokenized assets, it would represent $2.46 trillion in value. However, the impact of this on the XRP price remains uncertain [1].

In a bullish scenario where reserves on XRPL fully back tokenized assets, XRP's market cap could equal $2.46 trillion, pushing the price to around $41. However, this is unlikely to be the case, as tokenization value does not directly translate to market valuation [1].

Meanwhile, Ripple's forecast has sparked bold predictions within the XRP community. Some have speculated that XRP could reach $10,000 by 2029, but a closer look at the numbers reveals that this claim strains credibility. At $10,000, XRP's market capitalization would be several times larger than the entire global economy, an outcome that far exceeds any historical precedent in financial markets [2].

For such a valuation to be remotely plausible, several extraordinary events would need to align, including the XRP Ledger dominating global settlement of tokenized assets, regulatory frameworks enabling seamless integration, and trillions of dollars in institutional liquidity flowing into XRP. However, these requirements face steep legal, technical, and macroeconomic challenges [2].

The SEC and CFTC have also taken steps to facilitate the trading of certain spot crypto asset products on registered exchanges, aiming to empower American innovation in these rapidly evolving markets. This move could further support the growth of the tokenization market [3].

Ripple's vision of tokenization is credible and transformative, but applying it to extreme price targets should be treated with caution. While XRP may benefit from increased adoption as tokenization expands, translating that narrative into five-figure valuations per token requires assumptions far beyond current economic realities.

References:
[1] https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/09/04/heres-the-possible-xrp-price-if-tokenization-reaches-10-of-global-gdp-by-2030/
[2] https://timestabloid.com/pundit-calls-10000-xrp-price-for-2029-in-reaction-to-this-ripple-statement/
[3] https://www.pymnts.com/cryptocurrency/2025/sec-and-cftc-aim-to-facilitate-trading-of-spot-crypto-assets/