Rezolve AI (RZLV) Surges 31.88% Intraday: Can This AI-Powered Commerce Leader Sustain Momentum?

Summary
• Rezolve AI (RZLV) surges 31.88% to $3.06, trading above 52-week high of $8.45
• Company forecasts $17M+ December revenue and $200M+ ARR, despite GAAP net loss
• Options frenzy: 2026-01-16 $3 call option sees 55,330 contracts traded

Rezolve AI’s stock has erupted on news of record December performance and $200M+ ARR, defying a GAAP net loss. With 66.4 million shares traded and a 35.7% turnover rate, the AI commerce leader is testing critical technical levels as institutional buyers and retail traders react to bullish fundamentals.

Record Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Milestone Ignite Bullish Sentiment
Rezolve AI’s 31.88% intraday surge stems from its announcement of $17M+ December revenue and $200M+ ARR, doubling its original 2025 guidance. The company’s positive adjusted EBITDA despite GAAP losses—driven by non-cash items and one-time costs—has signaled strong operating leverage. Institutional confidence, with Citadel and BlackRock increasing stakes, combined with 650+ enterprise clients including Adidas and Gucci, has amplified investor optimism. The stock’s break above the $2.816 Bollinger Middle Band and 30-day MA of $3.09 adds technical validation to the rally.

Software Sector Mixed as Adobe (ADBE) Slides -1.3%
The Software—Application sector shows mixed momentum, with Adobe (ADBE) down 1.3% despite Rezolve AI’s surge. While Rezolve’s AI-driven commerce platform gains traction with Microsoft and Google integrations, broader software stocks remain range-bound. The sector’s 52-week high of $8.45 for RZLV contrasts with Adobe’s $492.50 peak, highlighting divergent investor sentiment between niche AI plays and established SaaS leaders.

Options Playbook: Capitalizing on RZLV’s Volatility with Gamma-Driven Calls
• 200-day MA: $3.09 (near current price)
• RSI: 26.6 (oversold)
• MACD: -0.3476 (bearish) vs. -0.3771 signal line
• Bollinger Bands: $3.24 (upper) / $2.39 (lower)
• Implied Volatility: 123.3% (RZLV20260116C3)

RZLV’s technicals suggest a short-term bullish breakout, with key support at $2.97 and resistance at $3.24. The 200-day MA and Bollinger Upper Band align as critical levels to watch. While the RSI indicates oversold conditions, the MACD histogram’s positive divergence hints at potential reversal. For leveraged exposure, two options stand out:

• RZLV20260116C3 (Call, $3 strike, Jan 16 2026):
- Implied Volatility: 128.01% (high)
- LVR: 6.15% (moderate)
- Delta: 0.6042 (high sensitivity)
- Gamma: 0.3305 (strong price responsiveness)
- Turnover: $193,513 (liquid)
- Projected 5% upside payoff: $0.15/share
- This contract offers optimal leverage with high gamma to capitalize on continued momentum.

• RZLV20260109C3 (Call, $3 strike, Jan 9 2026):
- Implied Volatility: 129.09% (high)
- LVR: 6.83% (moderate)
- Delta: 0.5989 (high sensitivity)
- Gamma: 0.3722 (strong responsiveness)
- Turnover: $15,083 (liquid)
- Projected 5% upside payoff: $0.15/share
- Slightly shorter-term exposure with comparable gamma and liquidity.

Aggressive bulls should consider RZLV20260116C3 into a break above $3.24, while hedging with a stop below $2.97. The 128% IV and 0.6042 delta position this call to benefit from continued institutional buying.

Backtest Rezolve AI Stock Performance
The backtest of RZLV's performance following a 32% intraday surge from 2022 to the present indicates favorable short-to-medium-term gains, with the 3-Day win rate at 50.75%, the 10-Day win rate at 47.01%, and the 30-Day win rate at 57.46%. However, the maximum return during the backtest period was only 13.45%, which suggests that while RZLV has a high probability of positive returns in the immediate aftermath of the surge, the overall performance is capped by the 32% intraday increase.

RZLV’s $3.24 Breakout Could Signal New Bull Phase – Act Now
Rezolve AI’s 31.88% surge reflects a pivotal inflection point driven by $200M+ ARR and institutional backing. While the stock faces 52-week high resistance at $8.45, the immediate focus is on holding above $2.97 support and testing $3.24. Adobe (ADBE)’s -1.3% decline underscores sector rotation toward AI-driven plays. Investors should prioritize RZLV20260116C3 for leveraged exposure, with a stop-loss below $2.97 to protect gains. Watch for a $3.24 breakout to confirm a new bullish trend.