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U.S. retail sales recorded a month-over-month decline of 0.9% in January, marking the largest drop since January 2024. This figure was significantly lower than the expected decline of 0.1% and the previously reported increase of 0.7%.
The unexpected drop in retail sales has raised concerns about the health of the U.S. economy. Some analysts attribute the decline to the lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has led to a shift in consumer spending habits. Others point to the ongoing trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties, which may be dampening consumer confidence and spending.
However, it is important to note that the retail sales data is subject to revision. The U.S. Census Bureau has revised its previous estimate of the December retail sales growth from 0.4% to 0.7%. This revision suggests that the retail sales data may be more volatile than initially thought.
The decline in retail sales comes as the U.S. Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates to combat inflation. The Fed's tightening monetary policy may be contributing to the slowdown in consumer spending, as higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive and reduce consumer purchasing power.
The U.S. economy has been facing headwinds in recent months, with GDP growth slowing and inflation remaining elevated. The decline in retail sales is another sign that the U.S. economy may be losing momentum. However, it is too early to tell whether this is a temporary setback or a more significant trend.

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