Regional-Bank Jitters Flip Stocks Red as KRE Cracks Its 200-Day

Written byAdam Shapiro
Thursday, Oct 16, 2025 4:15 pm ET2min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- U.S. stocks closed lower as regional bank stress revived 2023 fears, with the Dow down 0.65% and regional banking ETF KRE falling over 6% below its 200-day average.

- First Brands Group's bankruptcy exposed $12B+ in disputed loans, triggering $110M+ losses for banks and raising concerns about "phantom collateral" in lightly regulated credit structures.

- JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon's "cockroach" warning amplified investor anxiety, while Deutsche Bank called the banking sector selloff overdone despite mark-to-market risks for insurers.

- Gold surged 2.63% as risk-off sentiment intensified, with technicians warning further KRE weakness could test 2023 lows near $55 amid pending regional bank earnings reports.

U.S. stocks surrendered early gains and closed lower Thursday after fresh stress in regional banks reignited memories of last year’s scare. The Dow fell 300.95 points, or 0.65%, the S&P 500 lost 41.98, or 0.63%, and the Nasdaq slipped 107.54, or 0.47%, while small caps bore the brunt with the Russell 2000 down 2.10%.

The

midday as the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF slid more than 6% and broke below its 200-day moving average around $60, a technical breach traders read as a sign that selling pressure is broadening. The downdraft from Zions and of $110 million-plus in losses tied to First Brands Group, has exposed what some lenders describe as “phantom collateral” and overlapping claims across $12 billion-plus of borrowings under regulatory review, according to materials in the provided document.

The episode has focused attention on the nexus between regional banks and private-credit structures that operate with lighter oversight. Morningstar's DBRS unit cautioned that the fallout could include mark-to-market hits on CLOs and potential trade-credit claims for insurers, underscoring how the ripples can extend beyond banks. Jefferies estimated about $45 million of losses tied to First Brands but called them

while Deutsche Bank argued the stock’s selloff looks overdone.

The mood wasn’t helped by a now

from JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon: “When you see one cockroach, there are probably more.” The line has become shorthand for investor unease about hidden leverage, the document notes.

Outside financials, single-stock stories cut both ways. United Airlines

with Q3 adjusted EPS of $2.78 and guided Q4 EPS to $3.00–$3.50, but the shares slipped below $100 as weaker unit revenue offset cost gains; UBS and Deutsche Bank kept positive stances, according to the file. CEO Scott Kirby emphasized United’s decade of customer-experience investment: “We’ve invested in customers at every price point — from seatback screens and lie-flat Polaris seats to fast, free Wi-Fi on every plane by 2027.”

J.B. Hunt rallied earlier after a clean earnings beat—$1.76 EPS versus $1.46 expected—and progress on a $100 million cost-reduction plan prompted price-target lifts toward $180, positioning the trucker as a margin-repair story into 2026. Salesforce, meanwhile, mapped a path to $60 billion revenue and 40% margins by FY2030 around its Agentforce AI push and a $7 billion buyback, drawing favorable notes from Needham and Mizuho.

Safe-haven flows were visible in commodities: gold jumped 2.63% to $4,312.00, while crude oil slipped 1.32% to $57.50—a pairing consistent with risk-off positioning as banks dragged equities lower.

With several regionals set to report Friday, technicians say a swift KRE recovery back above $60 would help stabilize sentiment; failure could invite a test of the 200-week trendline near $55, a level associated with the 2023 trough. For now, investors are defaulting to the oldest playbook on bank headlines: sell first, ask questions later.

author avatar
Adam Shapiro

Adam Shapiro is a three-time Emmy Award–winning content creator, former network news correspondent, and founder of the multimedia production company TALKENOMICS. At AInvest, he created and launched Capital & Power, a video podcast series designed to drive engagement and establish thought leadership, while also producing original live streams, financial articles, and investor-focused video content. Previously, as a correspondent at FOX Business, Shapiro established the network’s Washington, D.C. bureau, reported from the White House, Capitol Hill, and the Federal Reserve, and secured exclusive bipartisan interviews with influential leaders. His reporting helped solidify FOX Business as the most-watched business channel on television. At the same time, his original Talkenomics series drew tens of thousands of viewers per episode through insightful conversations with policymakers, economists, and thought leaders. At Yahoo Finance, he played a critical leadership role in expanding digital programming to eight hours of live, bell-to-bell financial news coverage, dramatically increasing traffic from 68M to 104M unique monthly visitors and growing ad revenue from zero to over $50 million annually. Yahoo Finance continues to benefit from the credibility of Shapiro’s exclusive interviews with former President Donald Trump and numerous Fortune 500 CEOs.

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