Regeneron's Pipeline Diversification and Regulatory Wins Position it for Long-Term Growth Amid Near-Term Headwinds

Marcus LeeMonday, Jun 16, 2025 4:05 pm ET
27min read

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN) reported a challenging first quarter of 2025, with total revenues slipping 4% year-over-year to $3.029 billion amid headwinds for its flagship EYLEA franchise. Yet beneath the top-line struggles, the biotech giant demonstrated why its pipeline remains one of the most promising in the industry. Regulatory approvals, expanding indications for core assets like Dupixent and EYLEA HD, and progress in oncology and rare diseases suggest Regeneron is positioning itself for sustained growth. For investors, the dip in near-term performance may present an opportunity to buy into a company with a robust innovation engine and a balance sheet capable of weathering short-term turbulence.

The Near-Term Struggle: EYLEA's Decline and Cost Pressures

EYLEA, Regeneron's anti-VEGF drug for eye diseases, has long been a cash cow. However, U.S. sales for both EYLEA and its high-dose variant EYLEA HD fell 26% year-over-year to $1.04 billion, with EYLEA itself dropping 39% due to pricing pressure from generic bevacizumab and competition from Novartis' Beovu. While EYLEA HD sales rose 54% to $307 million—reflecting its promise for fewer injections—this growth was overshadowed by the broader franchise decline.

The regulatory path for EYLEA HD is also uneven. While the FDA granted priority review for expanded indications including retinal vein occlusion (RVO) and monthly dosing (target action date August 2025), a Complete Response Letter (CRL) for its pre-filled syringe highlighted supply chain risks. Separately, the FDA delayed approval of extended dosing intervals beyond 16 weeks, requiring further data. These hurdles underscore the need for diversification beyond ophthalmology.

The Silver Lining: Dupixent's Dominance and Pipeline Momentum

Dupixent, Regeneron's co-developed IL-4/13 inhibitor with Sanofi, continues to drive growth. Global sales rose 19% to $3.67 billion in Q1, with approvals in new indications like chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU) and Japan's nod for COPD broadening its reach. The drug's potential in respiratory diseases—particularly its pending U.S. submission for asthma in children—could extend its market leadership. With Sanofi's collaboration revenue up 30% to $1.18 billion, Dupixent remains a cash generator.

Beyond Dupixent, Regeneron's oncology pipeline is gaining traction. Lynozyfic (linvoseltamab), its bispecific antibody for multiple myeloma, secured EU approval, while submissions for Libtayo in adjuvant squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC) are pending. In gene therapy, the DB-OTO candidate for genetic hearing loss showed promising Phase 1/2 data, with 11 of 12 children demonstrating improved hearing and speech perception. These programs highlight Regeneron's ability to innovate across therapeutic areas.

Strategic Moves to Mitigate Risk

Regeneron is proactively addressing its challenges. The settlement with Biocon delaying biosimilar EYLEA until late 2026 buys critical time for EYLEA HD to gain market share. Meanwhile, the company's $7 billion infrastructure investment in New York and North Carolina—bolstering manufacturing and R&D—signals confidence in long-term demand for its therapies.

A $0.88 per share dividend, the first since 2025, further underscores financial strength. With $3.87 billion remaining on its share repurchase program, Regeneron has the flexibility to capitalize on its own dips or acquisition opportunities.

Risks and Considerations

The near-term outlook isn't without pitfalls. EYLEA's U.S. sales continue to erode, and gross margins dipped to 85% due to inventory write-offs. R&D costs rose 6%, reflecting investments in late-stage programs. Investors must also monitor the FDA's response to EYLEA HD's extended dosing request and the competitive landscape in ophthalmology.

Investment Thesis: Buying the Dip in a Pipeline Powerhouse

Regeneron's Q1 results reflect execution challenges in a mature franchise but highlight its innovation prowess. With Dupixent's expanding addressable market, oncology approvals, and gene therapy breakthroughs, the company is diversifying beyond its ophthalmic roots. The dividend and share buybacks suggest management believes in its long-term prospects.

Historically, Regeneron's stock has shown resilience during key catalysts. When purchased on the day of quarterly earnings announcements between 2020 and 2024 and held for 30 trading days, the stock typically rose on the announcement day and maintained momentum during the holding period. This strategy has capitalized on investor optimism and the company's strong earnings-driven performance, reinforcing the value of timing entries around regulatory and financial milestones.

A P/E ratio of ~15x (based on 2025 EPS guidance) is reasonable for a company with such a rich pipeline. Key catalysts in 2025 include EYLEA HD's FDA decision in August, data readouts for Itepekimab in chronic sinusitis, and the potential approval of Odranextamab for multiple myeloma. While near-term earnings may remain pressured, the long-term trajectory appears solid.

Conclusion: Regeneron's Future is Built on Diversification

Regeneron's Q1 performance underscores the pharmaceutical industry's harsh reality: even top drugs face pricing and competition pressures. Yet the company's response—aggressively expanding Dupixent's use, pushing oncology approvals, and investing in next-generation therapies—aligns with a strategy to offset EYLEA's decline. For investors willing to look past quarterly noise, Regeneron's pipeline and regulatory momentum make it a compelling play on biotech innovation. The question isn't whether the company can grow, but when the market will reward its progress.

In a sector where long-term value hinges on sustained innovation, Regeneron's diversification efforts position it well for the next decade. Investors who can stomach near-term volatility may find this a worthwhile bet.