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Reddit’s First Quarterly Profit Propels Stock Upward as AI Partnerships and Ad Growth Fuel Strong Q3 Results

Jay's InsightTuesday, Oct 29, 2024 8:36 pm ET
2min read

Reddit reported its first profitable quarter since going public in March, sending its shares soaring by 22 percent in extended trading. The company’s strong third-quarter performance was driven by a combination of AI content licensing deals, robust digital ad spending, and expanded user engagement, which together painted a positive picture for future growth.

Profitability Milestone and Revenue Growth

Reddit posted a third-quarter profit of 16 cents per share, a marked turnaround from its 13-cent loss per share in the same period last year. This result surpassed analyst expectations, which had projected a 7-cent loss per share. Revenue surged by 68 percent to $348.4 million, significantly outpacing the analyst estimate of $312.8 million. The growth reflects Reddit’s successful pivot to monetize its platform more effectively while broadening its appeal to advertisers.

In a further boost to investor confidence, Reddit’s forecast for fourth-quarter revenue came in between $385 million and $400 million, far exceeding the market consensus of $357.9 million. This optimistic guidance underscores the company’s momentum and its ability to leverage new revenue streams to drive growth.

AI Content Licensing and Partnerships

A standout factor in Reddit’s strong quarterly performance has been its strategic AI partnerships. The company has entered content licensing agreements with Alphabet’s Google and OpenAI, which utilize Reddit’s data to train their language models. This AI-driven revenue stream has been instrumental in pushing the company to profitability and reflects an important shift in the tech sector, where data-rich platforms like Reddit are increasingly valuable for AI development.

While Reddit’s AI partnerships have contributed substantially to its revenue this quarter, experts caution against over-reliance on these deals for long-term growth. Jeremy Goldman, senior director of briefings at Emarketer, remarked that while these AI partnerships are “like training wheels on a bike,” they offer initial stability but cannot sustain Reddit’s growth indefinitely. However, the current revenue boost from these agreements underscores the value of Reddit’s data and its potential to attract additional AI-driven opportunities in the near term.

Expansion of Digital Advertising and User Engagement

Beyond AI partnerships, Reddit has made strides in strengthening its digital advertising business. The company’s recent initiatives include leveraging machine learning to translate content into multiple languages, a move aimed at tapping new international users and enhancing engagement. This expanded reach is reflected in Reddit’s daily active unique visitor count, which climbed by 47 percent year-over-year to reach 97.2 million users in the third quarter.

Reddit’s efforts to modernize its platform have included advancements in its search functionality. CEO Steve Huffman announced plans for a 2025 revamp of Reddit’s search capabilities, with improvements such as an enhanced results page, autocomplete features, and the integration of large language models to provide more accurate search results. These upgrades are designed to improve user experience and maintain Reddit’s competitive edge in the social media and community-based platform space.

Reddit’s digital advertising growth has also benefited from its audience expansion. The platform’s global average revenue per user (ARPU) rose by 14 percent to $3.58 in the third quarter. The company’s ability to monetize its user base more effectively hints at future revenue potential, especially given the gap between Reddit’s ARPU and those of comparable platforms like Meta and Pinterest. According to Michael Ashley Schulman, chief investment officer at Running Point Capital, Reddit’s ARPU indicates room for “enhanced dynamic advertising returns through improved audience targeting and performance tracking.”

Outlook and Future Growth Potential

Reddit’s outlook for the fourth quarter remains strong, with revenue expected to significantly outpace previous estimates. The positive guidance reflects not only the platform’s growth trajectory but also the potential for further gains in ad revenue and user engagement as it expands its reach and enhances monetization.

While AI content licensing has played a pivotal role in reaching profitability, Reddit’s longer-term growth will likely hinge on its core advertising business and platform improvements. The anticipated search enhancements and internationalization efforts underscore Reddit’s commitment to broadening its appeal and maximizing revenue from an expanding user base.

Conclusion

Reddit’s first profitable quarter showcases the success of its strategic pivots and underscores the growing monetization potential of its platform. With the dual benefits of AI partnerships and strong digital ad growth, Reddit is well-positioned to capitalize on these revenue streams in the near term. Looking ahead, Reddit’s initiatives to improve user engagement and broaden its international reach set a solid foundation for continued growth, with investors watching closely as the company works to build on this milestone.

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