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Raydium (RAY) has seen a significant price increase, surging over 16% to $3.66 amid a 127% jump in trading volume, signaling heightened trader interest [1]. Analyst MiggyMello, however, warns that this recent rally may not be the final phase before a breakout, as the asset could experience a pullback in the near term. According to the analyst, such a correction could precede a larger upward move.
The price action is being driven by Raydium’s LaunchLab platform, which on August 9 generated $900,000 in daily fees—marking the first time it outperformed the swap platform’s revenue [1]. A portion of these fees—30%—is allocated to RAY buybacks, which at current prices equate to about $110,000 daily. With 268 million RAY tokens in circulation, these buybacks are reducing the supply on the market, helping to support the price.
Protocol revenue has also grown by 60% quarter-over-quarter, translating to an annualized buyback yield of approximately 6% [1]. If LaunchLab continues to generate more than $800,000 in daily fees, the buyback pressure is expected to remain robust. Raydium’s total value locked (TVL) recently hit $2.08 billion, reinforcing its position as a major liquidity hub within the
DeFi ecosystem.Strategic partnerships, such as with xStocks, are adding new dimensions to Raydium’s offerings. This collaboration introduces tokenized equities liquidity pools to the platform [1]. Additionally, the upcoming Firedancer upgrade for the Solana network in Q3 2025 is expected to enhance performance and efficiency, potentially attracting more users and capital to the ecosystem.
From a technical perspective, MiggyMello highlights that the 50-period moving average (MA) is still below the 100-period MA, which is not an ideal configuration for a long-term bullish trend [1]. While a short-term 30% price rise is possible, the analyst predicts that the market may consolidate by pulling back toward the 50 MA before a stronger upward move can gain traction.
The price has recently broken out of a consolidation range on strong volume, but the structure suggests that this could be followed by a short correction [1]. If the pullback remains above key support levels and buyback activity continues at its current rate, Raydium may be setting itself up for its most significant rally yet.
Source: [1] Analyst Warns Raydium (RAY) Price Could See One More Big Drop Before the Next Big Run – Here’s Why (https://captainaltcoin.com/analyst-warns-raydium-ray-price-could-see-one-more-big-drop-before-the-next-big-run-heres-why/)

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