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ConocoPhillips (COP) stock has declined 5% this year and 18% over the past 52 weeks, but has been moving northward since June due to geopolitical tensions and President Trump's support for the hydrocarbon industry. Long-term investors may be bullish on COP stock given Trump's policies, and options traders can use applied game theory to determine the appropriate timing to act on potential opportunities.

ConocoPhillips (COP) stock has experienced a significant decline over the past year, with a 5% decrease in 2025 and an 18% drop over the past 52 weeks. However, the stock has shown a recent uptick since June, driven by geopolitical tensions and President Trump's supportive policies for the hydrocarbon industry [2]. Long-term investors may find COP stock attractive given these factors, and options traders can use applied game theory to determine the optimal timing for potential opportunities.

As of July 16, 2025, ConocoPhillips has a market cap of $115.52 billion, a decrease of 13.64% from the same period last year. The company's stock price stands at $91.51, with a forward P/E ratio of 15.36, indicating a discount relative to the industry average [1]. Despite the recent decline, ConocoPhillips' long-term market cap history shows a compound annual growth rate of 9.42% since 1998, with significant increases in market cap over the years.

The energy company's stock has lagged behind the broader market indices in recent months. In the past month, COP has dropped by 1.39%, underperforming the Oils-Energy sector's gain of 2.89% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.97% [2]. However, analysts maintain mixed views on the stock, with some raising price targets while others highlight potential challenges.

ConocoPhillips is expected to report its earnings on August 7, 2025, with an anticipated EPS of $1.38, marking a 30.3% fall compared to the same quarter of the previous year. The company is also slated to reveal its fiscal year 2024 earnings, which are projected to show a significant increase in net income [2].

The company's recent shareholder return plan, announced in February 2025, aims to distribute $10 billion to shareholders in 2025, supported by robust production growth and the integration of Marathon Oil assets [3]. However, the success of this plan will depend on the company's ability to meet its capital spending and dividend commitments amidst fluctuating oil prices and potential financial risks associated with the Marathon Oil acquisition.

In conclusion, ConocoPhillips stock has shown a mixed performance in 2025, with a recent decline followed by an uptick driven by geopolitical factors. Long-term investors may find COP stock attractive given its long-term growth potential and supportive policies. However, the stock's performance will depend on the company's ability to navigate potential challenges and meet its financial commitments.

References:
[1] https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/cop/market-cap/
[2] https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/conocophillips-cop-stock-drops-despite-market-gains-important-facts-note
[3] https://www.perplexity.ai/finance/COP