Quantum Computing Surges 13.68%: What's Fueling the Rally?

Summary
• Quantum Computing (QUBT) surges 13.68% to $12.38, hitting an intraday high of $12.55
• Acquisition of Luminar Semiconductor and strategic pivot to photonics drive speculation
• 52-week range of $4.37–$25.84 highlights volatility amid sector-wide quantum optimism

Quantum Computing’s explosive 13.68% rally on December 22, 2025, has ignited investor curiosity. The stock’s surge to $12.38—up from a 52-week low of $4.37—coincides with its $110 million acquisition of Luminar Semiconductor and a strategic shift toward room-temperature photonic systems. With a 9.01% turnover rate and a dynamic P/E of -121.62, the move reflects a mix of speculative fervor and sector-specific momentum as quantum computing transitions from theoretical promise to tangible applications.

Strategic Acquisition Drives QUBT's Explosive Rally
Quantum Computing’s 13.68% surge is directly tied to its $110 million acquisition of Luminar Semiconductor, which bolsters its photonics-based quantum computing capabilities. The deal, announced last week, grants QUBT access to 100+ patents and a state-of-the-art supply chain for Thin-Film Lithium Niobate (TFLN) chips. These chips are critical for next-gen telecommunications, LiDAR, and quantum systems, positioning QUBT to capitalize on federal contracts and commercial partnerships. The acquisition also aligns with QUBT’s recent NASA contract for radar data reconstruction, validating its room-temperature photonic approach as a scalable alternative to cryogenically cooled competitors.

Computer Hardware Sector Gains Momentum as QUBT Leads
The computer hardware sector, led by QUBT’s 13.68% surge, reflects broader optimism in quantum computing. Peers like IonQ (IONQ) and D-Wave (QBTS) have also seen gains, but QUBT’s unique focus on photonic systems and room-temperature operations differentiates it. While Rigetti (RGTI) struggles with cryogenic infrastructure costs, QUBT’s Arizona foundry and TFLN chip production offer a cost-effective edge. The sector’s growth is further fueled by U.S. government funding for quantum foundries and rising demand for quantum-safe cybersecurity.

Options and ETFs to Capitalize on QUBT’s Volatility
• 200-day average: 13.68 (above) • RSI: 49.65 (neutral) • MACD: -0.66 (bearish) • Bollinger Bands: 9.66–13.76 • Kline pattern: Short-term bearish, long-term ranging

Quantum Computing’s technicals suggest a volatile but range-bound profile. The 200-day average at $13.68 acts as a key resistance, while the Bollinger Band lower bound at $9.66 offers a support level. With RSI at 49.65, the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, but the bearish MACD (-0.66) and short-term bearish Kline pattern indicate caution. Traders should monitor the $12.38 level for a potential breakout or breakdown.

Top Options Picks:
• QUBT20251226C12.5
- Type: Call
- Strike: $12.50
- Expiry: 2025-12-26
- IV: 75.84% (high liquidity)
- Delta: 0.406 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.0807 (strong time decay)
- Gamma: 0.3587 (high sensitivity to price movement)
- Turnover: 89,375
- LVR: 40.62% (high leverage)
- Payoff at 5% upside ($13.00): $0.50 per share
- Why: High gamma and moderate delta make this call ideal for a short-term rally, with strong liquidity to ensure execution.

• QUBT20260102C12.5
- Type: Call
- Strike: $12.50
- Expiry: 2026-01-02
- IV: 88.65% (high volatility)
- Delta: 0.472 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.0502 (moderate time decay)
- Gamma: 0.2032 (moderate sensitivity)
- Turnover: 10,384
- LVR: 18.75% (moderate leverage)
- Payoff at 5% upside ($13.00): $0.50 per share
- Why: Slightly longer expiry and high IV make this call suitable for a mid-term bullish bet, balancing time decay and volatility.

Aggressive bulls should consider QUBT20251226C12.5 into a breakout above $12.50.

Backtest Quantum Computing Stock Performance
The Backtest of the Quantum Uptrend Breakthrough (QUBT) strategy after a 14% intraday surge from 2022 to the present reveals a mixed performance. While the strategy has a decent win rate and positive returns over various time frames, the maximum return during the backtest period was only 18.57%, which is below the 14% surge threshold. This suggests that QUBT might not consistently capitalize on such large intraday gains.

QUBT's Strategic Shift Validates Long-Term Potential
Quantum Computing’s 13.68% rally validates its strategic pivot to photonics and TFLN-based manufacturing. The acquisition of Luminar Semiconductor and federal contracts position QUBT to capitalize on the $100–110 billion semiconductor market by 2030. While technicals suggest a range-bound profile, the stock’s momentum aligns with sector trends. Investors should watch the $12.38 level for a potential breakout and monitor the sector leader Intel (INTC), which fell -0.73% today. For those seeking leverage, the QUBT20251226C12.5 call offers high gamma and liquidity to ride the short-term surge.