• Qtum traded in a narrow range for most of the 24-hour period before a sharp breakout in the early morning.
• A bullish engulfing pattern formed at 06:30 ET, indicating a potential reversal in bearish momentum.
• Volatility and volume spiked during the breakout, confirming the shift in market sentiment.
• RSI climbed into overbought territory, suggesting short-term caution for further upward moves.
• Price closed above both 20 and 50-period moving averages, reinforcing short-term bullish bias.
Qtum (QTUMUSDT) opened at $2.136 on 2025-07-30 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of $2.229, and closed at $2.229 on 2025-07-31 at 12:00 ET, after a sharp upward move. Total volume was 98,565.1, with a turnover of approximately $218,744.
Structure & Formations
For most of the 24-hour period, Qtum traded in a tight consolidation range of $2.136–$2.183. This consolidation ended with a strong breakout candle at 06:30 ET, forming a bullish engulfing pattern that confirmed a shift in momentum. The candle opened at $2.183 and closed at $2.215 with a high of $2.224 and low of $2.181, marking the first meaningful move in a long period. A follow-up candle pushed the price to a high of $2.229, suggesting buyers are stepping in with conviction.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20 and 50-period moving averages both crossed below the closing price at $2.229, reinforcing a short-term bullish bias. The price is now comfortably above both, indicating upward momentum is likely to continue in the near term unless a strong bearish reversal forms.
MACD & RSI
The MACD line crossed above the signal line during the breakout, confirming the bullish momentum. RSI climbed into overbought territory, reaching a high of approximately 72, indicating that the recent move may be exhausting. While this does not necessarily signal a reversal, it suggests that short-term traders may take profits in the near term.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded significantly during the breakout, with the price moving outside the upper
Band at $2.229. The bands had previously shown a period of contraction during the consolidation phase, setting the stage for the breakout. The price remains above the 20-period moving average, suggesting that the upward move may continue, but a pullback into the upper band could offer a more favorable entry point for longs.
Volume & Turnover
Volume surged during the breakout candle, with a total volume of 93,615.4, far outpacing the near-zero volume seen earlier in the day. This confirms the strength of the move and indicates that the breakout is not a false signal. Turnover also spiked during the same period, reaching approximately $206,544, which further validates the breakout's legitimacy.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci levels to the recent consolidation swing (from $2.136 to $2.183), the breakout occurred just above the 61.8% retracement level, which is a strong psychological level for traders. If the price continues higher, the next Fibonacci level to watch is the 161.8% extension, which would place a potential target near $2.295.
Qtum appears to have broken out of a long consolidation phase with strong volume and momentum. While the bullish signal is confirmed, the overbought RSI suggests caution for near-term trading. Investors should monitor for a pullback into the upper Bollinger Band as a potential entry point, but be prepared for a retest of the breakout level at $2.183. As always, market conditions can shift quickly, so risk management remains critical.
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