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Here’s the thing: QQQ’s price action and options flow tell two stories. On one hand, the stock is testing support near its 30-day moving average. On the other, options traders are piling into calls above $630 while selling deep puts—hinting at a potential breakout. Let’s break it down.
Bullish Pressure Builds at Key StrikesLooking at the options chain, next Friday’s (Dec 19) calls lead with 72,794 open contracts—nearly double the $625 strike. This isn’t just noise. High open interest at $630–$660 suggests institutional players are either hedging a rally or betting on a break above the 200-day Bollinger Band ($587–$637.51).
But here’s the twist: the put/call ratio (1.55) still favors bears. However, block trades like the put sale (5,000 contracts, $4.2M turnover) signal big players are selling downside protection. Think of it like a football team selling defensive plays while stacking the offense—preparing for a big push upward.
No Major News, But Technicals Drive SentimentThere’s no recent headline news to explain this setup. That means the options flow is likely driven by technical positioning. QQQ’s RSI (71.7) is near overbought territory, and its MACD (4.26) remains above the signal line. These aren’t red flags—they’re green lights for momentum traders.
But don’t ignore the puts. The strike has 80,387 open contracts, acting as a shadow support level. If
dips below 620.88 (today’s low), that strike could become a magnet for short-term buyers.Actionable Trade Ideas for QQQThe next 72 hours will test QQQ’s resolve. A close above $623.75 could trigger a cascade of call options at $630, while a drop below $612.48 might force reevaluation of the long-term bullish case. Either way, the Dec 19 expiry offers a clean slate for positioning.
Remember: Options are a language. Right now, the market is whispering “up” in bold letters. But always validate with your own risk tolerance—this setup isn’t for the faint of heart.

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