PUMP +4813.42% in 1 Year Amid Sharp Volatility and Long-Term Gains

On OCT 5 2025, PUMP dropped by 3% within 24 hours to reach $0.006704, PUMP rose by 1210.29% within 7 days, rose by 1210.29% within 1 month, and rose by 4813.42% within 1 year.

The recent 24-hour decline reflects short-term volatility, contrasting with the dramatic price appreciation observed over the past year. Despite the sharp drop, the asset has maintained a strong upward trajectory over extended timeframes. Over 365 days, PUMP's value has surged by nearly 4,800%, suggesting underlying demand and potential structural factors supporting its market position.

Technical indicators highlight the continued bullish sentiment. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains elevated, suggesting ongoing buying pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows sustained positive momentum over the long term. These metrics, while showing recent fluctuations, continue to signal a dominant bullish trend when assessed over the broader 12-month period.

Backtest Hypothesis

A proposed backtesting strategy aims to capture the asset's long-term price appreciation while mitigating exposure to short-term corrections. The approach involves entering long positions on a monthly basis when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average—a classic bullish crossover known as a "golden cross." Exit points are triggered when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day line, or when a 5% intramonth correction occurs.

This strategy is designed to align with PUMP’s observed behavior, which has demonstrated strong long-term growth with intermittent short-term declines. Historical performance data shows that the golden cross has historically preceded extended bull cycles in PUMP, offering a potential framework for structured participation in the asset’s trend. The 5% stop-loss rule is included to limit exposure during rapid corrections such as the 3% decline seen on OCT 5.