Polls Show Trump and Harris in 'Neck-and-neck Competition' Before The Second Presidential Debate
2min read With less than two months to go until the election day on November 5th, a national poll by The New York Times shows that Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump and his Democratic rival Kamala Harris remain evenly matched in this final stage, with no clear winner in sight.
The poll results released on Sunday show Trump leading with 48% support, just one percentage point ahead of Harris (47%), a difference well within the survey's 3 percentage point margin of error, meaning that as it stands, either of them could ultimately win.
Although Trump experienced a relatively tough period in the weeks following Biden's withdrawal and Harris's formal nomination, recent polls indicate that his core supporters have not wavered.
The polls clearly show that voters need to know more about Harris, while their views on Trump are essentially set. In the survey, 28% of potential voters said they needed more information about the Democratic candidate, while only 9% felt the same about Trump.
The poll indicates that the presidential debate scheduled for Tuesday (10th) could be a pivotal moment.
Harris will have the opportunity to provide more policy details from her plan during the 90-minute debate with Trump. The current competition is so close that a slight boost for either candidate would be significant.
Since Harris replaced Biden as the Democratic presidential candidate this summer, she has been vigorously promoting her campaign, but she also never appears unprepared and has minimized the number of media interviews she accepts.
Overall, in the national average polls tracked by The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, Harris has a support rate of 49.4%, while Trump has 45.8%.
Specifically, a new poll in Michigan shows that Trump's lead over Harris has been largely erased.
According to the statewide poll EPIC MRA conducted from August 23-26, Trump's support rate is 46%, just one percentage point higher than Harris's 45%. Additionally, the favorability of the Republican presidential candidate among respondents is 45%, while it is 46% for Harris.
Another media poll shows that Harris leads Trump among potential voters in Wisconsin and Michigan, while Trump has the advantage in Arizona. In Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, the two candidates are evenly matched, with Pennsylvania being widely seen as the key battleground due to its largest number of electoral votes.
In the states, about 15% of potential voters said they have not yet made a final decision. This indicates that as we are nine weeks away from Election Day, people's attention to the campaign is increasing, and as the campaign (especially in these states) reaches its peak, many voters' views on the candidates may change.
In Wisconsin, Harris has the support of 50% of voters, while Trump has 44%; in Michigan, Harris's support rate is 48%, and Trump's is 43%. In Arizona, Trump's support rate is 49%, while Harris has 44% support.
Furthermore, in Georgia and Nevada, 48% of voters lean towards Harris, while 47% favor Trump; in Pennsylvania, the two candidates are in a dead heat, each with 47% support.