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Pi Network is facing a period of uncertainty as it approaches its largest token unlock on July 4, 2025. This event will release 19.2 million tokens, significantly increasing the available supply in an already pressured market. The PI token has experienced six consecutive days of decline, slipping below $0.50, which has raised concerns among investors.
The upcoming unlock is part of a larger schedule that will see 268.4 million tokens gradually released throughout July. This is the largest monthly unlocking until October 2027, and it has raised fears of a massive token influx on crypto trading platforms, which could have a bearish impact on the PI price.
The market's reaction to the upcoming unlock has been one of nervousness. The PI price dropped 3% on Tuesday, marking a sixth consecutive session in the red and slipping below the $0.50 threshold for the first time. Technical analysts have identified several critical levels that are now threatened, including $0.5031, $0.4711, and $0.40. The current configuration suggests that selling pressure is overpowering the hope for solid project foundations, fueling the prospect of an unfavorable massive token influx.
Despite the Pi Network team's efforts to strengthen the ecosystem with new features announced during Pi2Day, the market has remained indifferent. The launch of Pi App Studio, an AI-powered no-code platform, and the implementation of a staking feature in the Ecosystem Directory did not revive bullish sentiment. Technical indicators such as the MACD and RSI signal a clearly bearish trend, with the RSI dangerously sliding toward the oversold zone, indicating excessive selling pressure.
The market seems to be focusing on technical signals and risks related to unlocks rather than fundamentals. In the short term, the combination of a weakened market sentiment and a heavy unlocking schedule could intensify the downward spiral. Clear support from its community or fundamentally positive news will be essential to prevent July from becoming a painful turning point in the trajectory of the Pi Network project.

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