Pi Network Price Forecast: PI Stabilizes Amid US-Venezuela Tensions

Pi Network (PI) held steady above $0.2100 on Monday, following a six-day recovery amid broader crypto market gains driven by US-Venezuela tensions. The token’s price movement reflects broader macroeconomic factors, with geopolitical volatility creating a safe-haven effect for certain digital assets. Despite the rally, trading volume for PI increased to nearly 18 million tokens, the highest since December 18.

Santiment data indicates that social dominance for PI fell to 0.004% on Monday, signaling muted retail interest. However, the surge in volume during the recovery phase suggests potential accumulation by institutional or sophisticated investors. Typically, such volume patterns during price recovery indicate net buying activity, hinting at a strategic buildup.

Technical indicators remain mixed for Pi Network. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2174 continues to act as overhead resistance, with long wick candles indicating rejection at that level over the weekend according to analysis. Despite this, the recent six-day rally shows renewed buying pressure, especially as the RSI rose to 53, above the neutral midpoint. The MACD also stabilized near the zero line, signaling a potential shift in momentum toward bullish territory.

Why Did This Happen?

The geopolitical tensions between the US and Venezuela have led to a broader flight to safe-haven assets, including certain cryptocurrencies. Pi Network’s price action appears to align with this trend, though its limited social media traction indicates a lack of retail participation. Santiment's data highlights that social volume in PI continues to decline, a typical signal of smart money inflow.

The current price of PI remains above the $0.2000 psychological support, offering a floor for further consolidation. If the price breaks and closes above the 50-day EMA at $0.2174, it could test the September 23 low at $0.2613. This would signal a stronger bullish case for the token, though it remains contingent on sustained volume and momentum.

How Did Markets Respond?

The broader cryptocurrency market saw gains driven by the geopolitical uncertainty, with PI benefiting from this macro environment. However, its price remains below the all-time high of $2.98, recorded in early 2025. The token’s technical performance suggests that buyers are testing key resistance levels, though the lack of strong retail demand remains a concern.

In terms of market structure, PI is currently trading in a tight range above $0.205. The 4-hour chart shows small-bodied candles, indicating consolidation rather than a clear directional move. The RSI on this timeframe reached 59.42, showing mild buyer control, while the MACD is just above the zero line, signaling easing bearish pressure.

What Are Analysts Watching Next?

Analysts are closely monitoring key price levels and technical indicators for further clues about PI’s near-term direction. The 50-day EMA remains a critical resistance, and a decisive close above it would be a strong bullish signal. Conversely, a retest of the $0.2000 support would likely reignite bearish sentiment according to market analysis.

On-chain metrics and social sentiment will also play a role in shaping PI’s trajectory. Santiment's data highlights that a drop in social dominance often precedes accumulation by sophisticated investors. If PI continues to attract institutional attention, it could trigger a broader rally.

Long-term price predictions for Pi Network vary. Some analysts forecast a maximum price of $0.3444 in 2026 and $3.19 in 2032. However, these forecasts are contingent on increased adoption, ecosystem development, and sustained market demand. At the current pace of supply unlocks and market conditions, a price of $5 in the near term remains highly unlikely.

The current supply unlock schedule also presents a headwind for PI’s price. Over the next 12 months, more than 1.24 billion tokens will be unlocked, potentially increasing sell pressure. This factor is often cited as a reason for the token’s volatility and limited upside.

Market participants are advised to watch for a potential test of lower support zones if current trends persist. A reversal would require the RSI to climb above 50 and the MACD to cross bullishly, both of which have not yet occurred. In the short term, caution remains the dominant theme for Pi Network as investors weigh the impact of supply unlocks against demand growth.