Pi Coin Faces 25% Drop Amid Token Unlocks

Pi Coin, the native cryptocurrency of pi Network, is experiencing significant volatility as its prices have declined substantially from their annual peaks. This downturn is attributed to various ongoing market conditions, with expert analysts predicting that pi coin could face another 25% value decrease following its previous 80% price drop. The continuous token unlock procedures are a key factor in reducing the coin’s value by increasing the total supply available in the market.

Technical analysis indicates that Pi Coin is breaking down from a bearish rising wedge pattern, which frequently signals further price falls. Several analysts forecast Pi to drop between $0.44 and $0.45, representing approximately a 25% decrease from current levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Pi Coin shows signs of reaching oversold territory with current values at 31, indicating a weakening momentum rather than a price reversal.

Pi price faces strong resistance around $0.82, where the 200-day Simple Moving Average on the four-hour chart exists. The current market valuation is significantly lower than the $0.87-$0.45 price point, which strengthens the bearish market prediction. Current bearish market patterns dominate, while the recovery of this support level could serve as a potential reversal indicator, but only from a short-term perspective.

The token unlock events currently running in the market significantly push Pi Coin price downwards. The circulation numbers of Pi tokens reached 2.8 million on April 16, 2025, before the daily release schedule began its run until the end of April. The total number of unlocked PI tokens during April 2025 will hit 108.9 million, thus leading to increased market supply levels. Over the next 12 months, a broader schedule will release tokens into circulation, progressively putting downward pressure on Pi.

The continuous increase of PI tokens released daily, between 5 and 6 million tokens, will result in a rising supply and increasing market pressure, which should cause additional price drops. The current token unlocks will generate market turbulence before causing potential downward pressure on Pi Network’s price.

A price recovery for Pi Coin seems feasible, but current market trends indicate a negative outlook. Pi Network’s decentralized model shows promise for future growth, while its substantial user base development continues to progress. Pi Network’s ecosystem growth and new use cases for the Pi Coin can result in a price surge when the released tokens find buyers in the market.

Investors must exercise caution throughout the near term because the substantial number of released tokens would likely maintain downward pressure on markets. Traders should keep updating their positions based on the calendar that shows when Pi tokens will become unlocked.

The current situation for Pi Coin remains ambiguous due to strong negative market forces generated by continuous token unlock programs. Market participants anticipate further short-term price declines because a 25% reduction may arise from ongoing token unlocks. Pi’s future trajectory depends on stability indicators and higher market demand throughout its network development.

The expansion of Pi depends heavily on developing its ecosystem, user base, and practical applications outside of token unlocks that happen in the present. The question remains: Will Pi Coin survive the existing financial downturn once unlocking activities end?