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Let’s start with the options chain. This Friday’s expiring calls show heavy open interest at the $155 (OI: 5,058) and $160 (OI: 3,113) strikes, while puts max out at $140 (OI: 3,373). That’s a 1.5:1 call/put imbalance for these key strikes. Think of it like a crowd gathering at an exit ramp—most are betting on an upside breakout.
But here’s the twist: A massive block trade sold 30,000 puts at the $140 strike (PEP20251017P140) in early December. That’s not noise—it’s a whale hedging against a deep pullback. Combine that with the 200D support at $131.40 and you’ve got a floor scenario. The risk? Regulatory scrutiny could shake confidence, but the options data assumes a smooth ride.
News Bolsters the Bull Case—For NowCiti’s $170 target isn’t just a number. It’s a psychological nudge for traders to lock in calls against the $155–$160 strikes. The “Buy Candidate” upgrade from analysts also lines up with PEP’s technicals: Its 30D MA ($146.81) and 200D MA ($142.17) are both acting as shields.
But don’t ignore the bearish undertones. Regulatory questions hang over pricing practices, which could delay the $170 dream. Still, the market’s pricing in optimism—PEP’s RSI is creeping toward overbought territory (56.3), but it’s not screaming “sell” yet.
Trade Setups: Calls, Breakouts, and Precision EntriesFor options players, the (this Friday’s $155 call) is a high-conviction play. If PEP cracks above its intraday high of $150.37, this strike could see a pop. For longer-term positioning, the (next Friday) offers more time for the $170 target to materialize.
Stock buyers, meanwhile, should eye $144.85 (30D support). A close above $149.38 (today’s low) would validate the bullish case. Target zones? The $155 call strike and Citi’s $170 target. A stop-loss below $144.71 (Bollinger Band lower bound) would protect against a surprise selloff.
Volatility on the HorizonPEP isn’t just a numbers game—it’s a story of momentum versus caution. The options market is pricing in a $155+ breakout, but regulatory risks and inventory concerns could create turbulence. If you’re in calls, keep an eye on the $140 put strike (OI: 3,373) as a liquidity magnet in a downturn. For now, the data says: Buy the dip, but watch the exits.

Focus on daily option trades

Dec.19 2025

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