Can PENGU Rebound from $0.025 and Breakout to $0.10? A Deep Dive into Technical and On-Chain Signals

The Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) token has emerged as a focal point in the volatile memecoin market, with its price action and on-chain dynamics suggesting a potential re-accumulation phase. As of September 4, 2025, PENGU trades near $0.025, a 40% decline from its July peak of $0.041. However, technical and on-chain signals indicate that the token may be poised for a rebound, with some analysts projecting a breakout toward $0.10 in 2025. This analysis evaluates the feasibility of such a move by dissecting recent price trends, whale activity, and market sentiment.

Technical Indicators: A Case for Re-accumulation

PENGU’s price action in late August and early September 2025 reveals a critical consolidation phase. The token broke out of a descending channel in late August, pushing prices to $0.03798 [4], while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed bullish divergence. This divergence—where price declines but momentum indicators rise—suggests weakening bearish pressure and potential for a rebound [1].

A key support level at $0.028 has held firm, with PENGU defending this threshold multiple times since mid-August [2]. Analysts argue that this resilience reflects quiet accumulation by long-term investors, who view the token as undervalued relative to its historical volatility. Meanwhile, a breakout above the $0.0357 resistance level could trigger a retest of higher levels, potentially propelling the price toward $0.04–$0.045 [1].

The $0.046 resistance level, however, remains a critical psychological barrier. A confirmed breakout here could catalyze a move toward $0.05 and even the $0.08 target cited by some analysts [1]. This trajectory hinges on sustained buying pressure and alignment with on-chain signals.

On-Chain Activity: Whale Confidence and Retail Inflows

On-chain data underscores growing institutional and retail confidence in PENGU. A major whale purchased $320,000 worth of PENGU in September 2025, signaling strong conviction in the token’s long-term potential [1]. This activity aligns with broader trends: Korean traders injected $12.8 million into PENGU on Upbit over a seven-day period in late August, reflecting regional enthusiasm [5].

Large wallet accumulations near the $0.046 level further reinforce bullish sentiment. These accumulations, combined with a market cap of $1.77 billion, suggest that PENGU is transitioning from speculative frenzy to a more structured accumulation phase [2]. The Fear & Greed Index, which reached 64 (greed) in early September, also indicates a shift in market psychology toward optimism [5].

Feasibility of a $0.10 Breakout

While PENGU’s 2025 price predictions range from $0.03149 to $0.055 [2][3], a $0.10 target would require a 260% surge from current levels. This scenario is plausible under two conditions:
1. Sustained Whale Participation: Continued large wallet accumulations and institutional inflows could drive liquidity and price discovery.
2. Breakout Confirmation: A sustained close above $0.046 would validate the $0.08 target, with $0.10 acting as a secondary extension.

However, risks remain. PENGU’s volatility—exemplified by its December 2024 peak of $0.05738 followed by sharp corrections [3]—highlights the token’s susceptibility to market sentiment shifts. Retail traders must also contend with regulatory scrutiny and broader crypto market cycles.

Conclusion

PENGU’s technical and on-chain signals paint a cautiously optimistic picture. The token’s ability to defend key support levels, coupled with whale activity and retail inflows, suggests a high probability of a rebound from $0.025. While a $0.10 target is ambitious, it is not implausible if PENGU sustains its breakout above $0.046 and maintains positive momentum. Investors should monitor on-chain accumulation trends and technical indicators for confirmation of a sustained bullish phase.

**Source:[1] Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) Price Prediction: Can Bullish Divergence Fuel a Recovery Above $0.035 After 15% Pullback? [https://bravenewcoin.com/insights/pudgy-penguins-pengu-price-prediction-can-bullish-divergence-fuel-a-recovery-above-0-035-after-15-pullback][2] Pudgy Penguins Price Prediction: Is a $2B Breakout Imminent? [https://www.bitrue.com/blog/pudgy-penguins-pengu-price-prediction-breakout][3] Pudgy Penguins Price Prediction: Is PENGU Coin a Good Investment? [https://stealthex.io/blog/pudgy-penguins-price-prediction-is-pengu-coin-a-good-investment/][4] $PENGU Trading Frenzy: $500M Volume in 24 Hours as Memecoin Breaks Bullish Pattern [https://www.cryptoninjas.net/news/pengu-trading-frenzy-500m-volume-in-24-hours-as-memecoin-breaks-bullish-pattern][5] Korean Traders Drive $12.8M Net Inflow of PENGU to Upbit in 7 Days: $PENGU Accumulation Trends [https://blockchain.news/flashnews/korean-traders-drive-12-8m-net-inflow-of-pengu-to-upbit-in-7-days-pengu-accumulation-trends]