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The PENGU token, a utility and governance token within the Pudgy Penguins ecosystem, has seen a 15% price drop following a significant on-chain transfer. An address linked to Pudgy Penguins reportedly sent $5.64 million worth of PENGU tokens to Binance, triggering concerns over insider dumping. This move aligns with broader on-chain activity, including the transfer of 485 million PENGU tokens to exchanges since July, totaling $17.7 million in sales [1].
The recent sell-off intensified bearish sentiment, particularly as no official statement has been issued by the Pudgy Penguins team. Traders are closely monitoring wallet activity for further signs of insider sales, which could exacerbate short-term price declines. According to Arkham Intelligence, an additional 1.586 billion PENGU tokens were moved between July 11 and 29, indicating ongoing pressure on both price and market confidence [2].
Currently, PENGU trades at approximately $0.03792, with a 24-hour trading volume of $1.1 billion and a market capitalization of $2.38 billion. The token’s price is below its July high of $0.05738, suggesting a loss of recent upward momentum [3]. Analysts remain divided on future price movements. CoinCodex forecasts a 2025 range of $0.0248 to $0.0961, with a median of $0.0371, while a more bullish scenario from Brave New Coin predicts a potential price of $0.075 or higher if key support levels hold [4].
Technical indicators also show a mixed outlook. The RSI divergence and TD Sequential buy signals suggest bullish potential if PENGU stabilizes above $0.0355 and breaks through $0.044. However, a drop below $0.028 could indicate stronger bearish pressure. The CoinCheckup AI model forecasts a 111% increase in price over the next year, projecting a value of $0.0772 [5].
Despite these predictions, the market remains cautious.
discussions highlight concerns over insider selling, with some users noting that Pudgy Penguins team members have sold tokens at a loss. This has led to a loss of trust among investors, who are wary of quiet transfers from project-related wallets [6].Further uncertainty has been introduced by an ETF filing from Canary Capital, which proposes an ETF composed of 80–95% PENGU tokens and associated NFTs. Analysts warn that this structure could expose investors to high volatility and regulatory risks, potentially undermining long-term confidence in the token [7].
The Pudgy Penguins team is under pressure to clarify the nature of these transfers and provide transparency regarding future token movements. Without clear communication, PENGU faces ongoing selling pressure and challenges in stabilizing its price.
[1] https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/688b97a87ecd143f156aa482/

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