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On September 24, 2025,
(BTU) surged 8.22% to $25.71, with a trading volume of $0.24 billion, ranking 420th in market activity. The rally followed raised full-year guidance, a $1 billion share buyback program expansion, and favorable coal market dynamics. Analysts upgraded price targets, citing improved cost discipline and policy tailwinds under a pro-coal administration.Peabody’s Q2 earnings highlighted operational strength, with $93 million in adjusted EBITDA and a robust $586 million cash balance. The company terminated its $3.8 billion Anglo American acquisition due to a mine fire, preserving liquidity and removing uncertainty. Management emphasized disciplined capital allocation, with cost reductions and a focus on organic growth, including the Centurion metallurgical coal mine.
Global coal demand remained resilient, driven by U.S. grid reliability needs and China’s supply constraints.
benefited from tax credits for metallurgical coal and reduced federal royalties, boosting profitability. Despite ESG challenges, the company maintained a strong governance rating (ISS 1) and prioritized shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks, returning 65% of free cash flow to investors.Analysts noted Peabody’s low debt-to-equity ratio (0.09) and $1 billion liquidity cushion as key strengths. While coal faces long-term headwinds, near-term policy support and strategic execution positioned Peabody to capitalize on cyclical demand. The stock’s 22% year-to-date return outperformed broader markets, reflecting renewed confidence in its value proposition.
To set up this back-test precisely, I need to clarify a few implementation details: Universe of tradable stocks—U.S. listed equities only? Price points for entry/exit—close-to-close returns? Weighting scheme—equal-weight across the 500 names? Corporate-action handling—split-adjusted price series acceptable? With these confirmed, data retrieval and strategy execution can proceed from 2022-01-01 through today.

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