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Is PDD Holdings (PDD) the Cheapest Stock with Biggest Upside Potential?

Marcus LeeThursday, Jan 16, 2025 3:39 pm ET
3min read


PDD Holdings, the operator of Pinduoduo and Temu, has been making waves in the e-commerce industry with its unique business model and aggressive expansion. As the company continues to grow and attract more users, investors are wondering if PDD is the cheapest stock with the biggest upside potential. Let's dive into the data and expert opinions to find out.



Undervalued Stock with Strong Growth Potential

PDD's stock price has been on a rollercoaster ride, dropping 66% from its peak in 2021. However, the company's fundamentals remain strong, with analysts expecting earnings and revenue growth of 12.5% and 16% per annum, respectively. PDD's EPS is forecast to grow by 10% per annum, and its return on equity is expected to reach 24.5% in three years. These metrics suggest that PDD is undervalued compared to its peers, offering investors a compelling opportunity.



ARPU and Take Rate Growth Opportunities

PDD's growth potential lies not only in its user base expansion but also in increasing its ARPU and take rate. The company's ARPU was significantly lower than its competitors in 2021, indicating room for improvement. Additionally, PDD's overall take rate was around 4% in 2022, lower than Ali's take rate of about 5%. By raising its ARPU and take rate, PDD can generate more revenue from its existing user base, contributing to its overall growth.

International Expansion Risks and Rewards

PDD's international expansion, particularly with Temu, presents both risks and rewards. The company faces geopolitical risks, regulatory challenges, and intense competition in international markets. However, PDD's innovative business model and aggressive expansion strategy have already proven successful in the US market, with Temu becoming the most downloaded app in the US app store in March 2023. As PDD continues to navigate these challenges, its international expansion could drive significant growth and value for shareholders.



Analyst Sentiment and Recommendations

Analysts have a positive outlook on PDD, with a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating. The average target price for PDD is $173.4, predicting a significant increase from its current stock price. Analysts highlight PDD's innovative business model, strong growth prospects, and international expansion as key drivers of its upside potential.

Conclusion

PDD Holdings' undervalued stock, strong growth potential, and international expansion opportunities make it an attractive investment option for those seeking significant upside. While the company faces risks associated with its international expansion, PDD's innovative business model and aggressive growth strategy have proven successful thus far. As PDD continues to grow and attract more users, investors can expect a strong performance from this e-commerce powerhouse.
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