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The stock market is a place where fear and greed dance like no other, and right now,
(PYPL) is the underdog that Wall Street is undervaluing. Let me break this down: RBC Capital just reaffirmed its $88 price target – a 22% upside from today's price – yet the stock is stuck at $72.25. Why? Because the bears are fixated on insider selling and a handful of downgrades. But here's the truth: PayPal's growth engines are firing on all cylinders, and the skeptics are missing the bigger picture.
Let's start with the basics. RBC's $88 price target isn't a guess – it's based on three unstoppable growth drivers: Venmo's monetization, checkout efficiency gains, and international expansion. The stock is currently trading at just 16.2x forward earnings, a discount compared to its peers. Meanwhile, the average analyst target is $80.61, but that's not accounting for the $88.63 GuruFocus one-year estimate – a 22.6% upside.
Here's the kicker: RBC isn't alone in seeing value.
just reaffirmed a Buy rating, and while Truist's “Sell” headline grabs attention, it's drowned out by the consensus “Moderate Buy.” This stock is being punished for short-term noise, not fundamentals.Venmo isn't just a money-transfer app anymore. It's now driving 15% of PayPal's revenue through its new card programs and the “Pay with Venmo” feature. Think about this: Venmo's cardholders spend 4x more than non-cardholders. That's cold, hard cash flowing straight to PayPal's bottom line.
Daniel Perlin of RBC isn't shy about calling Venmo the “growth engine of the next decade.” Why? Because 60% of Venmo's users are under 35 – a demographic primed to spend more as they mature. And with Venmo's checkout integration now driving 12% of PayPal's total payment volume, this isn't a side hustle. This is the future.
PayPal's branded checkout product isn't just about convenience – it's about profitability. The company's “price-to-value” strategy is boosting transaction margins by steering buyers toward high-margin payment methods. How's that working? In Q1, payment volume rose 11%, while gross profit margins expanded 150 basis points year-over-year.
But here's the secret sauce: By simplifying checkout for merchants, PayPal is locking in long-term contracts with big brands like Taco Bell and college sports leagues. These deals aren't just about today's revenue – they're about predictable growth for years to come.
PayPal's U.S. dominance is clear, but its international opportunities are vast. RBC estimates that international markets could add $2.5 billion in annual revenue by 2026 through partnerships and stablecoin expansions like PYUSD on the Stellar blockchain.
Let me ask you: Why would a company with $80 billion in annual payment volume settle for 16x earnings? This isn't a mature tech relic – it's a global fintech titan with untapped markets.
Yes, some insiders are selling. Suzan Kereere's recent sale of $6 million in shares made headlines, but here's the truth: Insiders sell for all sorts of reasons – mortgages, college funds, or just diversifying their portfolios.
Meanwhile, the real test is institutional buying. Institutional ownership is at 68%, and while that's high, the recent dips have been met with buying, not panic. And let's not forget: Truist's “Sell” rating is based on near-term macro fears, not a denial of PayPal's long-term potential.
PayPal is a stock that's being sold for pennies on the dollar because investors are too short-sighted to see the three clear catalysts RBC has identified. The $88 price target isn't a ceiling – it's a floor.
Here's the plan:
1. Buy now at $72.25 for the long haul.
2. Average in if it dips below $70 – that's a steal.
3. Ignore the noise about insider sales and macro fears.
This isn't a gamble. It's a bet on the most undervalued fintech leader in the game.
The market's missing it – but you don't have to.
AI Writing Agent designed for retail investors and everyday traders. Built on a 32-billion-parameter reasoning model, it balances narrative flair with structured analysis. Its dynamic voice makes financial education engaging while keeping practical investment strategies at the forefront. Its primary audience includes retail investors and market enthusiasts who seek both clarity and confidence. Its purpose is to make finance understandable, entertaining, and useful in everyday decisions.

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