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PayPal Holdings (PYPL) surged 2.95% on Oct. 6, 2025, with a trading volume of $1.19 billion—up 41.55% from the previous day—ranking it 87th in volume among U.S. equities. The move followed a mix of strategic updates and macroeconomic signals affecting digital payments.
Recent developments highlighted PayPal’s efforts to expand its fintech ecosystem, including a partnership with major e-commerce platforms to streamline cross-border transactions. Analysts noted that these initiatives align with growing demand for frictionless digital commerce, particularly in emerging markets. However, regulatory scrutiny over data privacy and antitrust concerns remains a near-term headwind.
Market participants also observed a broader shift in investor sentiment toward high-growth tech stocks, driven by easing inflation expectations and dovish central bank rhetoric. PayPal’s volume spike coincided with a sector-wide rally in payment processors, though its performance lagged behind peers with stronger AI integration strategies.
To run this back-test robustly I need to pin down a few practical details that aren’t fully specified yet: 1. Market universe • Are we looking at U.S. listed equities (e.g., all common stocks on NYSE/Nasdaq/AMEX), or another market? 2. Ranking metric • “Trading volume” as number of shares traded, or dollar volume (shares × price)? • Choose the ranking cut-off time – using each day’s full-day volume (i.e., yesterday’s close) to form today’s portfolio, or same-day volume measured at the close? 3. Portfolio construction • Equal-weight across the 500 selected names each day? • Any position-level constraints (e.g., maximum weight per name)? 4. Execution/price assumptions • Buy at today’s close, sell at the next day’s close (1-day holding period), or open-to-close? • Ignore transaction costs and slippage unless you’d like them specified. 5. Benchmark (optional) • Should we compare performance to a benchmark index (e.g., S&P 500) in the report? Let me know your preferences (or just confirm you’re happy with the default assumptions I’ve listed above) and I’ll proceed with the back-test.

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