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Palo Alto Networks: Guidance Miss Stings, Shares Slip

Wesley ParkThursday, Nov 21, 2024 12:02 am ET
4min read
Palo Alto Networks, a leading cybersecurity provider, reported first-quarter results that topped Wall Street views, but investors were left unimpressed by the company's full-year guidance. The stock tumbled 5% in after-hours trading, marking its largest percentage decrease since February. Despite the earnings beat, investors focused on the revenue shortfall and guidance revision, highlighting the importance of understanding individual business operations over standard metrics.

Palo Alto Networks reported first-quarter revenue of $2.14 billion, beating analyst estimates of $2.12 billion. However, the company's full-year revenue guidance of $9.12 billion to $9.17 billion, while bracketing analysts' $9.13 billion expectation, failed to impress investors. The discrepancy may be attributed to investors' focus on the company's pipeline of deals with customers looking to consolidate their cybersecurity vendors, as indicated by Wedbush analysts.



The company's earnings per share (EPS) came in at $1.56, beating analysts' $1.48 forecast, while revenue rose 14% to $2.14 billion, surpassing the $2.12 billion expected. Subscription and support revenue rose to $1.79 billion from $1.54 billion, indicating a growing preference for recurring revenue models. However, the company's stock price may find support near $285, as indicated by a multi-month uptrend line and the rising 200-day and 50-day moving averages.



Palo Alto Networks' stock performance following its guidance update was mixed compared to its peers in the cybersecurity sector. While the company's shares dropped 5% in after-hours trading, this was not as severe as the 20%+ decline experienced by some of its peers, such as CrowdStrike and Fortinet, following their own guidance updates. However, Palo Alto Networks' stock underperformed compared to the broader market, with the S&P 500 index rising by 1% on the same day.

Investors should consider the underlying fundamentals and strategic execution of Palo Alto Networks, rather than relying solely on standard metrics. The company's focus on platformization and growth, coupled with strategic acquisitions, positions it well for long-term success in the competitive cybersecurity market. As geopolitical tensions and cyber threats continue to boost demand for cybersecurity services, Palo Alto Networks remains a strong contender in the sector.

In conclusion, while Palo Alto Networks' full-year guidance disappointed investors, leading to a 5% drop in shares, the company's earnings beat and strategic focus on growth and platformization provide a solid foundation for long-term success. Investors should remain vigilant in evaluating individual business operations and not rely solely on standard metrics when making investment decisions.
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