PACS Soars 28% in Volatile Session—What's Fueling the Surge?

Summary
• PACS rockets 28.26% intraday to $9.89, surging from $8.10 to $10.17
• Options frenzy: 2025-09-19 10-strike calls trade 817x higher, 2025-10-17 10-strike calls up 314%
• Sector leader PKG lags with 1.62% gain, highlighting PACS' standalone momentum

Today’s explosive 28.26% rally in PACS has ignited a firestorm of speculation. The stock’s meteoric rise from $8.10 to $10.17—its highest level since March—has outpaced even the sector’s muted optimism. With options volume surging on 10-strike calls and technical indicators flashing extreme bearish exhaustion, the question is no longer if PACS will continue, but how traders should position for the next move.

Technical Breakout and Options Activity Drive PACS Rally
The 28.26% intraday surge in PACS is driven by a confluence of technical exhaustion and speculative options flows. The stock’s RSI at 15.32 signals extreme oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram (-0.38) and 52-week low proximity (7.5) suggest a short-term reversal. Simultaneously, 2025-09-19 10-strike calls (PACS20250919C10) traded 817x higher in turnover (28,649) and 2025-10-17 10-strike calls (PACS20251017C10) surged 314% in turnover (32,452), indicating aggressive bullish positioning ahead of the September 19 expiration. This options-driven liquidity surge has amplified the stock’s volatility beyond sector trends.

Options and ETF Strategy for PACS' Volatile Trajectory
• 200-day average: 12.14 (below current price) • RSI: 15.32 (oversold) • Bollinger Bands: 8.88 (lower) to 13.54 (upper) • MACD: -0.58 (bearish) • Gamma: 0.25 (high sensitivity) • IV: 105.81% (elevated)

PACS is trading near its 52-week low with RSI at extreme oversold levels, suggesting a potential short-term rebound. Key support at $8.88 (lower Bollinger Band) and resistance at $11.21 (20-day MA). The 200-day average at $12.14 remains a critical long-term hurdle. While no leveraged ETFs are available, options activity highlights aggressive bullish positioning.

Top Option 1: PACS20250919C10 (Call, $10 strike, 2025-09-19 expiry)
• IV: 105.81% (high volatility)
• Leverage: 17.76% (moderate)
• Delta: 0.48 (moderate directional sensitivity)
• Theta: -0.0545 (rapid time decay)
• Gamma: 0.245 (high sensitivity to price moves)
• Turnover: 28,649 (high liquidity)
This contract offers a balance of leverage and liquidity, ideal for capitalizing on a potential continuation above $10. A 5% price move to $10.38 would yield a payoff of $0.38 per contract, with gamma amplifying gains as the stock rises.

Top Option 2: PACS20251017C10 (Call, $10 strike, 2025-10-17 expiry)
• IV: 123.93% (very high volatility)
• Leverage: 6.74% (low)
• Delta: 0.56 (moderate directional sensitivity)
• Theta: -0.0249 (moderate time decay)
• Gamma: 0.102 (modest sensitivity)
• Turnover: 32,452 (high liquidity)
Despite lower leverage, this option’s high IV and liquidity make it a viable play for a sustained rally. A 5% move to $10.38 would generate a $0.38 payoff, with theta decay manageable given the October 17 expiry.

Aggressive bulls should consider PACS20250919C10 into a break above $10.17.

Backtest PACS Stock Performance
I tried to pull the historical price series for PACS so I could automatically detect every ≥ 28 % single-day jump since 2022, but the data-retrieval service returned a “session not found” error and would not supply the series.To keep the project moving we have two choices:1. Retry the automated approach – I can make another attempt at fetching the price data and generating the event list. 2. Switch to a manual approach – if you already know the dates (or even a partial list) when PACS surged ≥ 28 %, you can give them to me now and I can run the event-study back-test immediately.Please let me know which route you prefer (or if there’s another workaround you’d like to try).

Act Now: PACS at Pivotal Juncture—Next Move Could Define Short-Term Outlook
PACS’ 28.26% surge has created a high-stakes inflection point. The stock must hold above $8.88 (lower Bollinger Band) to confirm the rebound, with a break above $11.21 (20-day MA) signaling a potential reversal of its long-term bearish trend. Options activity, particularly the 2025-09-19 10-strike calls, underscores aggressive bullish positioning. While sector leader PKG lags with a 1.62% gain, PACS’ technicals and options flows suggest a short-term focus on volatility trading. Watch for a $10.17 breakout or a retest of $8.88—either outcome will define the next phase.