Ouster (OUST) Surges 10.6% on Intraday Rally: What's Fueling the Momentum?

Summary
• Ouster (OUST) trades at $28.54, up 10.62% from its $25.80 previous close
• Intraday range spans $26.37 to $30.75, with 4.08M shares traded (8.46% turnover rate)
• Technicals show RSI at 40.42, MACD histogram at -0.46, and 30D MA at $24.94

Ouster’s explosive intraday rally has captured market attention, with the stock surging 10.62% above its 52-week low of $5.84. While no company-specific news has been disclosed, technical indicators and options activity suggest a short-term bullish momentum. Traders are now scrutinizing whether this move reflects a broader trend or a fleeting technical rebound.

Short-Term Bullish Momentum Drives Ouster Higher
Ouster’s 10.62% intraday surge aligns with a short-term bullish K-line pattern and key technical triggers. The stock has pierced above its 30-day moving average ($24.94) and is currently trading near the upper Bollinger Band ($31.07). While the RSI at 40.42 remains neutral, the MACD histogram (-0.46) indicates a narrowing bearish divergence. Options data reveals heavy call buying at the $28–$30 strike range, with the OUST20250815C29 contract seeing 30,668 shares traded. This suggests institutional positioning for a near-term price extension.

Tech Hardware Sector Diverges as Apple Trails Lower
Ouster’s technicals suggest a continuation of its short-term bullish momentum, with key resistance at $30.75 (intraday high) and support at $23.06 (30D support). The stock’s 10.62% move has outperformed the Technology Hardware sector, where Apple (AAPL) fell 0.60%. This divergence highlights OUST’s independent strength amid sector-wide weakness.

Options and ETF Strategy for Ouster's Volatile Move
• 30D MA: $24.94 (above) | RSI: 40.42 (neutral) | MACD Histogram: -0.46 (bearish narrowing)
• Bollinger Bands: $20.54–$31.07 (current price at 92% of upper band)
• Turnover Rate: 8.46% (high liquidity)

Ouster’s technicals suggest a continuation of its short-term bullish momentum, with key resistance at $30.75 (intraday high) and support at $23.06 (30D support). The stock’s 10.62% move has outperformed the Technology Hardware sector, where Apple (AAPL) fell 0.60%. This divergence highlights OUST’s independent strength amid sector-wide weakness.

Top Options Picks:
• OUST20250815C29 (Call): Strike $29, Expiry 8/15, IV 105.48%, Leverage 25.95%, Delta 0.4466, Theta -0.2367, Gamma 0.1132, Turnover 21,121
– High leverage ratio (25.95%) and moderate delta (0.4466) position this for a 5% upside scenario (target $30.99), yielding a $1.99 payoff.
• OUST20250815C30 (Call): Strike $30, Expiry 8/15, IV 97.81%, Leverage 21.27%, Delta 0.4074, Theta -0.1174, Gamma 0.0774, Turnover 7,262
– Strong liquidity (7,262 turnover) and high gamma (0.0774) make this ideal for a breakout above $30.75, with a 5% upside payoff of $1.49.

Aggressive bulls may consider OUST20250815C29 into a bounce above $31, while OUST20250815C30 offers a safer entry for a sustained move toward the 52-week high of $32.95.

Backtest Ouster Stock Performance
Ouster (OUST) experienced a notable intraday surge of 16.26% on August 8, 2025, which was followed by a 15.89% increase on August 11, 2025. The backtest of OUST's performance after such a significant intraday surge shows favorable results:1. Short-Term Gains: The stock achieved a 3-day win rate of 60%, a 10-day win rate of 66.15%, and a 30-day win rate of 66.15%.2. Maximum Return: The maximum return during the backtest period was 53.93%, which occurred on day 59 after the intraday surge.3. Volatility: The stock's volatility increased significantly, with a turnover rate reaching 11.9%, indicating aggressive short-term positioning.In conclusion, OUST's performance after an intraday surge of 16.26% suggests a positive short-term outlook, with the potential for further gains in the following days. However, the high volatility indicates that investors should be prepared for potential fluctuations in the stock's price.

Act Now: Ouster's Breakout Could Signal a New Bullish Phase
Ouster’s 10.62% intraday surge reflects a confluence of technical strength and options-driven buying pressure. While the stock remains below its 52-week high of $32.95, a close above $30.75 (intraday high) could validate a broader bullish trend. Traders should monitor the 200-day MA (currently empty) and RSI for overbought signals. With Apple (AAPL) down 0.60%, sector divergence adds intrigue. Watch for a breakout above $30.75 or a breakdown below $26.37 (intraday low) to confirm direction. Aggressive bulls may consider OUST20250815C29 for a short-term play.