Orion Group Soars on Strong Q1: A Buy Signal for Infrastructure Bulls?

Wesley ParkTuesday, Jun 10, 2025 10:23 am ET
17min read

Investors in construction and infrastructure plays take note: Orion Group Holdings (ORN) just delivered a Q1 report card that screams buy. With revenue up 17%, a backlog now exceeding $890 million, and a new CFO bringing big-name experience to the table, this stock is positioned to ride the federal spending wave. But is this growth sustainable? Let's dig in—and decide if ORN is worth a swing.

Q1: A Turnaround in Motion

Orion's first quarter was a masterclass in execution. Contract revenues hit $188.7 million, a 17.4% jump from last year, while Adjusted EBITDA doubled to $8.2 million. The company's net loss narrowed to $1.4 million, a stark improvement from a $6.1 million hole in Q1 2024. This isn't just a cost-cutting victory—it's a sign of operational momentum.

The star here is the Marine division, which drove an 8.6% Adjusted EBITDA margin. Projects like a $7.5 million U.S. Army Corps of Engineers dredging job and a $6.3 million environmental cleanup in Washington are proof that Orion is winning big in government-backed work. Meanwhile, the Concrete segment, though struggling with a -4.4% margin, is seeing growth in private-sector wins like a $24.1 million Costco distribution center and a $6.6 million United Airlines catering facility in Houston.

Backlog = Ballast for Growth

Orion's backlog is the real game-changer. At $839.7 million as of March 31, it's up 15% from year-end 2024—and that's before adding $51.2 million in post-quarter wins. This isn't just about volume; it's about diversification. Federal contracts now account for 72% of the backlog, with defense, shipbuilding, and environmental projects leading the charge. But Orion isn't ignoring the private sector: commercial projects like the Costco and United Airlines deals show it's expanding its client base.

Federal Tailwinds: A Bullish Tailspin?

Cramer's mantra: Follow the money. And the money here is in federal policy. Orion's management explicitly called out support from defense spending, China deterrence initiatives, and infrastructure bills. With $42 million–$46 million in 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance, the company is betting that these policies will keep contracts flowing.

The risks? Sure—delays in federal approvals or cuts to spending could stall progress. But Orion's CEO Travis Boone is playing defense here: he notes no material impact from tariff risks or budget debates yet. Plus, the company's backlog is already loaded with projects that are either underway or near-ready. This isn't a “hope for the best” story—it's a deliver now story.

Leadership: New Blood, New Heights

The departure of CFO Scott Thanisch might raise eyebrows, but Orion's move to bring in Alison Vasquez is a home run. Vasquez, a 25-year veteran from KBR and Energy Transfer LP, has deep public company experience—and she's stepping in at a critical time. Her expertise in M&A, tax strategy, and investor relations could supercharge Orion's next phase.

The Bottom Line: Buy Now, or Wait?

Orion is priced for growth, but the fundamentals back it up. With a backlog-to-revenue ratio of nearly 10x (yes, 10x!), this company has room to scale. The 2025 revenue guidance ($800M–$850M) is achievable given Q1's 17% growth, and EBITDA margins could expand further if Concrete segment challenges stabilize.

The risks? Yes—project delays, Concrete segment volatility, and federal policy headwinds. But with $13 million in cash, no debt drawn, and a new CFO at the helm, Orion has the cushion to weather bumps.

Cramer's Call: This is a BUY. Orion is a pure-play on U.S. infrastructure and defense spending, with a backlog that's firing on all cylinders. If you're bullish on Biden's infrastructure plans or the Pentagon's shipbuilding budget, this stock is your lever. Set a price target at $15–$18 (a 30%–60% upside from current levels) and hold tight. The train's leaving the station—jump aboard before it's too late.

As of June 6, 2025. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.