OpenAI Eyes a $500 Billion Valuation Amid Revenue Surge and AI Market Bubble Concerns

Generated by AI AgentTicker Buzz
Wednesday, Sep 10, 2025 3:00 am ET1min read
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Aime RobotAime Summary

- OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar announced 2024 revenue will exceed $13B, doubling 2023's $4B, while withholding IPO timeline details.

- ChatGPT 5's mixed reception and CEO Sam Altman's admission of rollout errors highlight market volatility as Altman warns of an AI bubble.

- Employee share sales could boost valuation to $500B, intensifying scrutiny over Microsoft's dominant partnership and control dynamics.

- OpenAI seeks relaxed Microsoft restrictions but risks early termination if pursuing AGI, amid investor concerns about sustainable growth.

- Friar compared AI development to railroad expansion, emphasizing long-term potential despite current market skepticism and valuation debates.

OpenAI's impressive growth trajectory is poised to continue, with Chief Financial Officer Sarah Friar revealing that the company's revenues are expected to more than double this year, reaching approximately $13 billion from last year's $4 billion. "Our growth is incredibly rapid. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is stepping into a new era," Friar remarked at a recent industry conference, though she withheld specifics regarding a potential IPO timeline.

This year has been tumultuous for OpenAI. The company's August release of ChatGPT 5 received mixed reactions from users who criticized its less intuitive interface. CEO Sam Altman acknowledged missteps in the rollout process. Following these events, Altman commented on the current state of the AI market, describing it as a bubble.

Reports indicate that OpenAI is in negotiations to sell $6 billion worth of shares held by existing and former employees to investors, potentially raising the company's valuation to around $500 billion, a substantial increase from the $300 billion valuation earlier this year. This move has sparked heightened scrutiny from investors, especially concerning OpenAI's partnership with its major investor, MicrosoftMSFT--.

Amid the rapid expansion of its AI offerings, OpenAI is seeking to relax certain controls imposed by Microsoft, with whom it has a partnership slated to extend until 2030. However, this agreement might be subject to early termination if OpenAI's board announces the development of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI).

As investors begin to question the sustainability of the fast-paced growth in the AI sector, Friar emphasized that the current phase is only the beginning. Drawing a parallel to the construction of railroads, she mentioned, "We might have laid tracks from New York to Baltimore, but we eventually aim to cover the entire U.S., and even the globe." Friar continued, "Anyone who believes this cycle has peaked doesn't quite see the potential I see," underscoring her optimism about AI's transformative journey.

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