Summary
• Price opened at 0.0842 and closed at 0.0831, forming bearish consolidation patterns.
• Volume surged during late evening hours but failed to drive prices higher.
• RSI suggests oversold conditions while MACD hints at weakening bullish
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ONTUSDT traded between 0.0845 and 0.0824 in the last 24 hours, opening at 0.0842 and closing at 0.0831. Total volume was 6,608,863 and notional turnover amounted to $526,914. The pair appears to be consolidating after a failed rebound from 0.0845, with bearish momentum gaining control.
Structure & Formations
ONTUSDT has been forming bearish candlestick patterns, including inside bars and bearish hammers, particularly between 19:00 and 05:00 ET. A key resistance level appears to be forming near 0.0845–0.0847, while 0.0830–0.0832 offers initial support. The 15-minute chart shows signs of a potential breakdown from a 0.0840–0.0838 consolidation pattern, raising the possibility of a test at 0.0824–0.0828 in the next 24 hours.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20- and 50-period SMAs are converging with the price near 0.0833–0.0835, suggesting a bearish crossover may be imminent. Daily chart indicators show the 50- and 200-period SMAs separating with the price below both, indicating a bearish trend. A break below 0.0830 could signal further weakness in the near term.
MACD & RSI
The MACD has turned negative and is crossing below the zero line, indicating weakening bullish momentum. RSI is in oversold territory at 30–35, suggesting a short-term bounce could occur, but without a clear reversal signal, further downward drift is likely. The combination of bearish MACD and oversold RSI is a mixed signal—traders should watch for confirmation from volume or price action before taking long positions.
Bollinger Bands
ONTUSDT has been trading near the lower Bollinger Band for most of the last 12 hours, with volatility remaining moderate. A contraction in the bands between 19:00 and 20:00 ET suggests a potential breakout or breakdown could follow. If prices fall below 0.0830, it could trigger a retest of the lower band, increasing the likelihood of a test at 0.0824–0.0828.
Volume & Turnover
Trading volume spiked significantly between 00:00 and 05:00 ET, particularly around 03:30 and 04:30, but failed to drive prices higher. This divergence between volume and price suggests a lack of conviction in the rally. Total turnover was concentrated in the upper 0.0840–0.0847 range, with bearish volume surging after 19:00 as prices drifted lower.
Fibonacci Retracements
Recent 15-minute swings show that the 0.0836–0.0845 range corresponds to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level from a prior low. A breakdown below 0.0830 would align with the 61.8% retracement level and suggest a stronger bearish bias. On the daily chart, the 0.0830–0.0832 level is a key Fibonacci support, and a break below that could extend the trend to 0.0824.
Backtest Hypothesis
Given the bearish divergence in MACD and RSI during this 24-hour period, a backtest of “MACD Death Cross” signals on
would provide insight into the reliability of this strategy in a low-volatility environment. A signal would be generated when the 12-period MACD line crosses below the 26-period signal line while both are above zero. Using the “close” price and including a 5% stop-loss and a 7.5% take-profit rule, the performance from 2022–01–01 to 2025–11–13 could clarify whether bearish signals remain effective in a consolidating market like ONTUSDT.
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