Ontology (ONTUSDT) closed at $0.1499 on July 17, 2025, following a 24-hour range of $0.1472 (low) to $0.1545 (high). The period started at $0.1485 (12:00 ET, July 16) with total traded volume of ~1,847,319 ONT and total turnover of $5,288 (sum of "amount" fields).
Market Summary
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Resistance at $0.1545: Price peaked here before a sharp $0.0066 drop over four hours.
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Bearish MACD crossover: Histogram turned negative after failing to hold $0.153.
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Volume spike at $0.1545: A 129,437-ONT candle marked resistance, followed by declining turnover.
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Support near $0.148: Price rebounded briefly before closing below $0.150.
Technical Analysis
Structure & Formations
Price tested $0.1545 resistance twice (July 16 20:30 and 21:15 ET) but reversed sharply, with the second rejection coinciding with a bearish engulfing candle. Support at $0.1472 (July 17 03:00 ET low) held briefly before a partial rebound to $0.1497. A descending triangle pattern formed between $0.1472 and $0.1515, suggesting consolidation before a directional breakout.
Moving Averages
The 20-period EMA ($0.1502) and 50-period EMA ($0.1507) converged near $0.1505, acting as neutral support. On the daily chart, the 50-day SMA ($0.1530) remains above the 100-day SMA ($0.1490), indicating a neutral-to-bullish bias over longer timeframes.
MACD & RSI
The MACD line crossed below its signal line, confirming bearish momentum. RSI (14) settled at 48, within neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
Bollinger Bands
Price hugged the lower band ($0.1475) during the July 17 low before rebounding to the middle band ($0.1508). Volatility appears contracting, with a 3.2% range between bands—typical for sideways movement.
Volume & Turnover
Trading volume spiked during the $0.1545 resistance test (July 16 20:15–20:30 ET) but fell by ~80% in subsequent hours. Turnover peaked at $81,000 (July 16 20:15 ET) but diverged from price highs, hinting at waning bullish conviction.
Fibonacci Retracements
A 61.8% retracement of the July 16–17 pullback ($0.1506) offered fleeting support, while the 38.2% level ($0.1493) failed to sustain a rebound.
Forward Outlook
Ontology may test $0.1472 support over the next 24 hours, with a break below risking a drop toward $0.1450. Conversely, reclaiming $0.1515 could signal a return to $0.1545 resistance. Investors should monitor volume confirmations of key levels—light turnover may amplify volatility. As always, rapid crypto market shifts could alter this outlook abruptly.
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