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Thursday, Sep 4, 2025 3:24 pm ET1min read

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) fell 1.1% on China news, but investors should remain calm as the company's fundamentals and future financial outlook haven't changed. The restriction on shipping chipmaking equipment to China minimally impacts TSM's ability to operate and maintain industry dominance. Wall Street analysts remain bullish, with four Buy ratings and a fair valuation of $258.3 per share, making it a potential dip-buying opportunity.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) experienced a 1.1% decline in its stock price following news of restrictions on shipping chipmaking equipment to China. However, investors should remain calm as the company's fundamentals and future financial outlook remain unchanged. The restriction, which prevents TSM from shipping chipmaking equipment and selling chips in Asia's powerhouse, has minimal impact on the company's ability to operate and maintain its industry dominance.

TSM's significant market share in the semiconductor and chipmaking sectors, not just in Asia, ensures that it can continue to thrive. For instance, NVIDIA Co. (NASDAQ: NVDA) faced similar restrictions on selling its H20 chips to China but reported double-digit growth rates in new orders and revenue, indicating that TSM is also well-positioned to weather this challenge.

Wall Street analysts remain bullish on TSM, with four Buy ratings and a fair valuation of $258.3 per share, making it a potential dip-buying opportunity. While some outliers suggest a more realistic target of $270 per share, the overall sentiment supports the stock's long-term prospects. Institutional purchases of TSM stock totaled $8.6 billion in the past quarter, indicating strong investor confidence.

Moreover, the growth of data centers across the United States presents a significant tailwind for TSM. This trend, which directly calls on companies like TSM to aid the computing power transition onshore, is a much bigger opportunity than any business lost due to China restrictions.

References:
[1] https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/TSM/pressreleases/34606698/taiwan-semiconductor-falls-on-china-newsbuy-the-dip/
[2] https://www.spacedaily.com/reports/US_limits_TSMC_chipmaking_tool_shipments_to_China_999.html
[3] https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-alliancebernstein-lp-grows-stock-holdings-in-taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company-ltd-tsm-2025-09-03/

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