OneSpan Q3 2025 Earnings EPS Beats Estimates Despite 21.3% Net Income Decline
Revenue
Subscription revenue led the way at $37.78 million, growing 12% year-over-year, while maintenance and support accounted for $8.89 million. Professional services and other segments contributed $660,000, and hardware revenue totaled $9.73 million, though the company noted a secular decline in this area.
Earnings/Net Income
Non-GAAP EPS of $0.33 exceeded estimates, but GAAP EPS fell 19% to $0.17. Net income declined 21.3% to $6.51 million, though the company set a 20-year high for Q3 net income. Despite the EPS beat, mixed market reactions highlight risks from inconsistent revenue performance.
Post-Earnings Price Action Review
Historical backtests show OSPN’s stock returns +4.2% on average after revenue beats, with a 50% success rate over six years. However, Q3 2025 saw a 16% post-earnings drop due to revised guidance, underscoring volatility. Short-term traders should balance potential gains with tight stop-loss strategies, while long-term focus should prioritize software growth and AI integration.
<visualization dataurl="https://cdn.ainvest.com/news/visual/visual_components/viz_5yu87rid.json"></visualization>CEO Commentary
CEO Victor Limongelli emphasized software’s 80% business contribution, with 12% subscription growth and $180 million ARR. He highlighted strategic acquisitions (Nok Nok) and AI advancements to drive 2026 growth, alongside $6.3 million in Q3 buybacks.
Guidance
Full-year 2025 revenue guidance was cut to $239–241 million, with ARR projected at $183–187 million. Adjusted EBITDA remains at $72–76 million, and the $0.12 quarterly dividend continues.
Additional News
- M&A Activity: Acquired Nok Nok Labs to bolster authentication solutions, with $6-figure S3 FIDO2 contracts.
- Leadership Change: Hired Ashish Jain as CTO to accelerate R&D and AI integration.
- Dividend/Buybacks: Declared a $0.12 dividend (4.11% yield) and executed $6.3 million in share repurchases.
<img src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/aigc/hxcmp/images/compress-aime_generated_1761971635081.jpg.png" style="max-width:100%;">
The stock’s post-earnings volatility and revised guidance underscore the need for cautious positioning. Investors should monitor software adoption and hardware transition risks in the coming quarters.
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