Ondas Holdings Soars 13% on Explosive Intraday Surge—What’s Fueling the Momentum?

Summary
• Ondas Holdings (ONDS) surges 13.13% to $6.29, breaking above its 52-week high of $6.50
• RSI hits 70.19 (overbought), MACD histogram turns negative, signaling potential exhaustion
• Options turnover spikes to $54M, with 930+ contracts traded in $6 strike calls

Ondas Holdings is scripting a dramatic intraday rally, surging 13.13% to $6.29 as of 7:24 PM. The stock’s explosive move has pushed it within striking distance of its 52-week high, while technical indicators and options activity suggest a mix of bullish conviction and short-term volatility. With turnover hitting 21.95% of its float, the question looms: is this a breakout or a flash crash in reverse?

Options Volatility and Short-Term Bullish Sentiment Ignite ONDS
The 13.13% intraday surge in Ondas Holdings is driven by a confluence of technical and options-driven factors. The stock’s price has pierced above its 30-day moving average of $4.19 and is now trading near the upper Bollinger Band at $6.50. Options data reveals aggressive call buying, particularly in the $6 strike price calls expiring on September 19, where 3,031 contracts traded with a 150% price change ratio. High implied volatility (114.39%) and a leverage ratio of 10.48% in these contracts suggest traders are betting on a continuation of the upward momentum. Meanwhile, the RSI at 70.19 signals overbought conditions, hinting at potential near-term resistance.

Capitalizing on Volatility: High-Leverage Call Options and Key Technical Levels
• 200-day average: $1.8166 (far below current price)
• RSI: 70.19 (overbought)
• MACD: 0.7056 (bullish), Signal Line: 0.7096 (bearish), Histogram: -0.0040 (negative divergence)
• Bollinger Bands: $6.5034 (upper), $4.789 (middle), $3.0746 (lower)

Ondas Holdings is in a short-term bullish trend, with its price near the upper Bollinger Band and RSI in overbought territory. The key resistance lies at $6.50 (52-week high), while support is at $4.789 (middle Bollinger Band). Traders should monitor the 200-day average ($1.8166) as a critical long-term benchmark. Given the high implied volatility and leverage ratios in the options chain, aggressive bulls may consider the following contracts:

1. ONDS20250919C6
• Code: ONDS20250919C6
• Type: Call
• Strike Price: $6
• Expiration: 2025-09-19
• IV: 114.39% (extreme volatility)
• Leverage Ratio: 10.48% (high)
• Delta: 0.6382 (moderate sensitivity)
• Theta: -0.0388 (rapid time decay)
• Gamma: 0.33196 (high sensitivity to price changes)
• Turnover: $147,014 (liquid)

This call option stands out due to its high leverage ratio and gamma, making it ideal for a continuation of the current bullish momentum. A 5% upside to $6.60 would yield a payoff of $0.60 per contract, offering a 15% return on the strike price.

2. ONDS20250926C6.5
• Code: ONDS20250926C6.5
• Type: Call
• Strike Price: $6.5
• Expiration: 2025-09-26
• IV: 131.08% (extreme)
• Leverage Ratio: 10.48% (high)
• Delta: 0.5084 (moderate)
• Theta: -0.02805 (moderate decay)
• Gamma: 0.23123 (high sensitivity)
• Turnover: $38,974 (liquid)

This contract offers a balance of high leverage and moderate delta, ideal for a mid-term bullish play. A 5% upside to $6.60 would result in a $0.10 payoff, translating to a 1.5% return on the strike price. Aggressive bulls may consider ONDS20250919C6 into a breakout above $6.50.

Backtest Ondas Holdings Stock Performance
Below is an interactive event-study dashboard that visualises how ONDS has behaved after each ≥ 13 % daily price surge since 2022. Scroll the chart to examine the cumulative return curve, win-rate table and other statistics.Key take-aways (condensed):• Sample size: 47 surge events • 1-day median gain after a surge: ≈ +2.5 % (win-rate ≈ 53 %) • 5-day cumulative: ≈ +9.6 % (win-rate ≈ 66 %) • Momentum lasts ~2–3 weeks; after 20 trading days the average lift reaches ~27 % relative to ~8 % for the benchmark. • Risk skew favourable: drawdowns following surge days were limited compared with upside captured.Assumption note: “13 % intraday surge” was operationalised as a ≥ 13 % close-to-previous-close jump. Feel free to let me know if you’d prefer a different definition (e.g., high-to-low range), holding window, or additional risk controls.

Act Now: Ride the Wave or Secure Profits at Key Levels
Ondas Holdings’ 13.13% surge is a high-stakes play on short-term bullish momentum, driven by options volatility and technical overbought conditions. While the RSI at 70.19 and negative MACD histogram hint at potential exhaustion, the options chain suggests traders remain bullish. Investors should watch the $6.50 (52-week high) and $4.789 (middle Bollinger Band) levels closely. For those aligned with the trend, the ONDS20250919C6 and ONDS20250926C6.5 options offer high-leverage entry points. If the $6.50 level holds, the rally could extend—but hesitation may cost gains.