Ondas Holdings Soars 11.2% on Quantum-Safe Connectivity Surge – What’s Fueling the Frenzy?

Summary
• Ondas Holdings (ONDS) surges 11.2% intraday, hitting 52-week high of $12.325
• Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ONDS ETF (ONDL) jumps 22.98%, outpacing sector peers
• StarHub-NeutraDC quantum-safe connectivity MOU sparks sector-wide R&D momentum
• Options chain sees 20 contracts traded, with 12.255 price near 52W high and 31.25% turnover rate

Ondas Holdings is riding a wave of speculative fervor as quantum-safe connectivity collaborations and 5G infrastructure contracts ignite sector optimism. The stock’s 11.2% intraday rally, fueled by a $1.235 price jump from $10.99 to $12.255, aligns with broader telecom sector tailwinds. With the Defiance 2X ETF (ONDL) surging in lockstep and options volatility spiking to 147.82%, the move reflects a convergence of technical momentum and thematic catalysts.

Quantum-Safe Connectivity MOU Ignites Sector Optimism
The surge in ONDS follows StarHub and NeutraDC’s Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to deploy quantum-resistant encryption solutions, a development that directly aligns with Ondas’ communication equipment expertise. The collaboration, part of a global push for post-quantum cybersecurity, has amplified demand for infrastructure providers. Additionally, Nokia’s $4B R&D commitment and the EU’s €389M digital infrastructure funding have created a tailwind for telecom hardware firms. ONDS’ 52-week high of $12.325, reached amid 31.25% turnover, suggests short-term liquidity is flowing into the stock as investors position for sustained sector momentum.

Communication Equipment Sector Gains Momentum as Quantum-Safe Tech Drives ONDS
The Communication Equipment sector is outperforming broader tech indices, with ONDS leading the charge. While Cisco Systems (CSCO) declines -0.44%, the SPDR S&P Telecom ETF (XTL) gains 0.65%, reflecting sector-wide optimism. Quantum-safe connectivity initiatives, such as StarHub-NeutraDC’s post-quantum encryption rollout and the EU’s EuroQCI quantum links, are creating a structural shift in demand for secure infrastructure. ONDS’ 11.2% intraday gain outpaces peers, underscoring its positioning in this niche but high-growth segment.

Leveraged ETFs and High-Volatility Options Signal Aggressive Bullish Play
• 200-day average: 4.339 (far below current price)
• RSI: 62.41 (neutral to overbought)
• MACD: 0.509 (bullish divergence)
• Bollinger Bands: Price at 12.255 vs. upper band 10.439 (overextended)

ONDS is trading near its 52-week high with a dynamic PE of -93.7, signaling speculative momentum. The Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ONDS ETF (ONDL) at $40.78 (+22.98%) offers leveraged exposure, while the SPDR S&P Telecom ETF (XTL) at $157.47 (+0.65%) provides sector diversification. Key technical levels to watch: 12.325 (52W high), 10.99 (intraday low), and 8.84 (Bollinger middle band).

Top Options Picks:
• ONDS20260109C12
- Call Option, Strike: $12, Expiry: 2026-01-09
- IV: 122.08% (high volatility)
- LVR: 14.46% (moderate leverage)
- Delta: 0.5958 (moderate directional sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.1223 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.2206 (high sensitivity to price swings)
- Turnover: $1.1M (liquid)
- Why it stands out: High gamma and IV suggest strong short-term payoff potential if the 52W high is retested. A 5% upside to $12.87 would yield a $0.87 profit per contract.

• ONDS20260109C12.5
- Call Option, Strike: $12.5, Expiry: 2026-01-09
- IV: 125.76% (extreme volatility)
- LVR: 19.51% (aggressive leverage)
- Delta: 0.4849 (moderate directional sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.1168 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.2204 (high sensitivity to price swings)
- Turnover: $183.6K (liquid)
- Why it stands out: Extreme IV and leverage ratio make this ideal for a breakout trade. A 5% upside to $12.87 would yield a $0.37 profit per contract, though higher risk due to lower delta.

Action Insight: Aggressive bulls should target ONDS20260109C12 for a 5% upside play, while ONDL offers leveraged exposure to sector-wide momentum. Watch for a breakdown below 10.99 to trigger short-term volatility.

Backtest Ondas Holdings Stock Performance
The On-Demand Stock (ONDS) experienced a notable intraday surge of 11% in 2022, and subsequent performance was backtested over various time frames. The results indicate a positive trend, with win rates and returns increasing as the time horizon expanded:This suggests that while there was some short-term volatility, the overall trajectory of ONDS following the 2022 intraday surge was favorable, with the stock continuing to perform well in the months that followed.

Quantum-Safe Thematic Play Gains Traction – Position for 52W High Re-test
ONDS’ 11.2% intraday surge is a structural inflection point, driven by quantum-safe connectivity demand and sector R&D tailwinds. With the 52W high at 12.325 and options volatility spiking to 147.82%, the stock is primed for a breakout. Investors should monitor the SPDR S&P Telecom ETF (XTL) at +0.65% and sector leader Cisco Systems (CSCO) at -0.44% for broader context. Act now: Buy ONDS20260109C12 for a 5% upside target or ONDL for leveraged exposure. A breakdown below 10.99 would signal a reversal, but the current momentum favors a re-test of the 52W high.