Ondas Holdings Outlook: A Technical Neutral Play with Strong Bullish Momentum

Market Snapshot

Headline Takeaway: Ondas Holdings is in a state of technical neutrality, with mixed signals suggesting a wait-and-see stance for now. The stock’s price has risen by 41.28% recently, aligning with a generally optimistic market sentiment.

News Highlights

Recent news trends hint at macroeconomic shifts that could indirectly impact the wireless and tech sectors. Here are a few key updates:

• Uranium mining developments under Trump point to renewed interest in energy infrastructure, which may see ripple effects in broader capital spending and tech investment.
• 5G growth opportunities have been highlighted in enterprise wireless services, aligning with Ondas' core business. The report mentions 5G’s enhanced capabilities, which could drive innovation and infrastructure spending in the sector.
• Telecom earnings updates from companies like TELUS and United States Cellular indicate mixed performance across the wireless industry. A growing concern around wireless service revenue declines may prompt companies to prioritize network investment and infrastructure, favoring firms with strong technical capabilities like Ondas.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Ondas is currently rated 5.00 (simple average) and 5.48 (performance-weighted average) by analysts, indicating a generally optimistic but somewhat dispersed outlook. Notably, both Lake Street and Needham have issued recent “Strong Buy” ratings, though their historical accuracy varies: Needham has a perfect 100.0% win rate, while Lake Street is at 50.0%.

Fundamental Highlights

Key fundamental values and their corresponding internal diagnostic scores (0-10) are as follows:

• Revenue-MV: 2 – A lower score suggests the market valuation may be outpacing recent revenue performance.
• Net income-Revenue: -13.35% – A negative value points to declining profitability relative to sales, with a moderate score of 2.
• Asset-MV: 1.52% – A positive sign for asset valuation strength, scoring well at 2.
• Cash-UP: 45.10% – A strong cash position relative to operating expenses, supporting a score of 1.
• Inventory turnover days: 228.61 – A high number signals slow-moving inventory, scoring poorly at 0.

Money-Flow Trends

Big-money and retail flows are both showing a negative trend, though the inflow ratios remain relatively high: 48.98% for institutional (block) inflows and 48.98% for overall inflows. These mixed signals suggest that while large players are cautious, retail sentiment isn’t entirely bearish. The fund-flow score is rated as good (7.88/10), indicating positive momentum despite the overall negative trend.

Key Technical Signals

Ondas’ technical signals show a mixed but not bearish outlook, with the technical score at 5.28, suggesting a neutral stance. Here’s a breakdown of the key indicators:

• Long Lower Shadow (3.76/10): Suggests a cautious upward movement but weak internal strength.
• Long Upper Shadow (2.85/10): Points to potential rejection of higher prices, with low internal strength.
• MACD Death Cross (8.37/10): A strong bullish signal, with high internal strength and a high win rate of 72.73% historically.
• MACD Golden Cross (6.13/10): Another bullish signal, though with slightly lower strength compared to the Death Cross.

Recent chart patterns include a MACD Death Cross on 2025-12-26, suggesting a potential reversal to the upside, alongside multiple instances of Long Upper Shadows from late December into January, indicating sideways volatility. The technical consensus is one of technical neutrality, with balanced bullish and bearish signals, and no clear directional bias.

Conclusion

Ondas Holdings is in a mixed but not bearish technical phase, with a MACD Death Cross providing a notable bullish signal. The stock is supported by strong institutional inflows and positive cash fundamentals, but faces challenges in inventory turnover and net income generation. With analyst ratings trending optimistic and a technical score of 5.28, the best approach for now may be to monitor key price levels and look for a breakout confirmation, particularly if the MACD Death Cross leads to a sustained upward trend.