Ondas Holdings (ONDS) Surges 8.95% on Strategic Acquisitions and Defense Contract Wins—Is This the Start of a Bullish Run?

Summary
• Ondas Holdings (ONDS) surges 8.95% to $6.815, hitting an intraday high of $6.96
• Company announces $8.2M European airport security contract and $425M capital raise
• Technicals show short-term bullish momentum with RSI at 45.15 and MACD crossing into positive territory
• Options activity intensifies, with 20 contracts traded ahead of November 28 expiration

Ondas Holdings (ONDS) is experiencing a dramatic intraday rally, driven by a confluence of strategic acquisitions, defense contract wins, and a robust capital raise. The stock’s 8.95% surge to $6.815 reflects investor confidence in the company’s expanding defense technology ecosystem and global deployment capabilities. With a 52-week high of $11.70 still in reach, the stock’s technicals and options activity suggest a pivotal moment for this aerospace & defense player.

Strategic Acquisitions and Defense Contracts Fuel Ondas' Rally
Ondas Holdings’ 8.95% intraday surge is directly tied to a series of high-impact announcements. The company recently completed the acquisition of Sentrycs, a leader in counter-UAS cyber technology, and secured a $8.2 million contract to protect a major European airport with Iron Drone Raider systems. These moves expand Ondas’ global defense footprint and validate its multi-layered drone defense ecosystem. Additionally, the $425 million capital raise in October provides liquidity for further acquisitions and strategic growth, reinforcing investor optimism about the company’s ability to scale its autonomous systems business.

Aerospace & Defense Sector Gains Momentum as Ondas Outperforms
The broader aerospace & defense sector is showing resilience, with Lockheed Martin (LMT) up 0.26% intraday. However, Ondas’ 8.95% rally far outpaces sector peers, reflecting its unique focus on autonomous systems and counter-drone technology. While LMT benefits from long-term defense spending, Ondas’ recent contract wins and acquisitions position it to capitalize on the growing demand for AI-driven security solutions in both military and civilian markets.

Options and ETFs to Capitalize on Ondas’ Bullish Momentum
• 200-day MA: $3.22 (well below current price); RSI: 45.15 (oversold territory); MACD: -0.39 (crossing into positive)
• Bollinger Bands: Price at $6.815, above the middle band ($6.43), suggesting upward bias
• Key support/resistance: 30D support at $6.69–$6.81, 200D support at $0.68–$0.89

Ondas’ technicals and options activity indicate a strong short-term bullish bias. The stock is trading above its 200-day MA and within the upper Bollinger Band, signaling potential for further gains. For options traders, the ONDS20251128C7 call option (strike $7, expiration Nov 28) and ONDS20251205C7 (strike $7, expiration Dec 5) stand out. Both contracts have high implied volatility (123.15% and 116.88%) and leverage ratios of 10.91% and 9.09%, respectively, amplifying potential returns. The ONDS20251128C7 has a delta of 0.568 and theta of -0.0398, indicating sensitivity to price changes and moderate time decay. If ONDS rises 5% to $7.20, the call’s payoff would be $0.20 per share. Aggressive bulls should consider the ONDS20251205C7 for a longer-term play, with a 56% price change potential and moderate gamma (0.213).

Backtest Ondas Holdings Stock Performance
Below is the event-study back-test for Ondas Holdings (ONDS.O) after every ≥ 9 % one-day surge since 2022.Key take-aways for investors• 87 qualifying surges were identified in the 2022-2025 sample. • Average performance after a surge was mildly positive but statistically insignificant at all 30 forward-day horizons. • Median best window: ≈ 15-20 trading days, with cumulative mean return ≈ 14-16 %. • Win-rates hovered around 50 % across horizons, implying coin-flip odds. • No day-ahead edge was observed; one-day follow-through averaged only +1.2 %. InterpretationThe pattern suggests that a sharp one-day pop in ONDS has not reliably signalled sustained out-performance versus the underlying trend or the benchmark. Traders may require additional filters (e.g., volume spikes, news context, technical confirmation) to improve expectancy.Feel free to explore the interactive chart above for detailed P&L curves, drawdowns and event distribution.

Ondas’ Bull Run Gains Legs—Act Now on Strategic Entry Points
Ondas Holdings’ 8.95% rally is a clear signal of its growing influence in the defense tech sector, driven by strategic acquisitions and high-impact contracts. With technicals favoring a continuation of the upward trend and options data showing strong short-term positioning, investors should monitor key resistance levels at $6.96 (intraday high) and $7.73 (Bollinger upper band). The sector leader, Lockheed Martin (LMT), is up 0.26%, underscoring the sector’s strength. For traders, the ONDS20251128C7 and ONDS20251205C7 options offer leveraged exposure to a stock poised to capitalize on the autonomous systems boom. Watch for a break above $7.00 to confirm the next phase of the rally.