Ondas Holdings (ONDS) Surges 14% on $10M Autonomous Systems Orders: Is This the Catalyst for 2026?

Summary
• Ondas Holdings (ONDS) rockets 14.07% intraday to $10.255, defying a -0.58% decline in sector leader Lockheed Martin (LMT)
• $10 million in new autonomous systems orders fuels optimism ahead of 2026 border-protection tender
• Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ONDS ETF (ONDL) surges 27.95%, amplifying leveraged bullish sentiment

Ondas Holdings (ONDS) has ignited a 14.07% intraday rally, driven by $10 million in new autonomous systems orders and a $16.4 million counter-UAS deployment win. The stock’s surge to $10.255—up from $8.99—coincides with a 27.95% jump in the leveraged ONDL ETF, signaling aggressive positioning. With a 52-week high of $11.70 in sight, the move reflects growing demand for integrated drone and ground systems in defense and critical infrastructure.

$10M Autonomous Systems Orders Ignite 14% Surge in ONDS
Ondas Holdings’ 14.07% intraday surge stems from a $10 million influx in autonomous systems orders, including counter-UAS solutions, integrated drones, and robotic ground platforms. These orders build on Q4’s $16.4 million airport security deployments and position the company as a prime contractor for a 2026 border-protection system involving thousands of drones. CEO Eric Brock emphasized the validation of Ondas’ multi-domain autonomy strategy, with 2026 revenue guidance now at $110 million—a 205% jump from 2025. The move aligns with global demand for persistent autonomous security solutions, particularly in airports, borders, and energy facilities.

Aerospace & Defense Sector Mixed as ONDS Outpaces LMT
While Ondas Holdings (ONDS) surged 14.07%, the broader Aerospace & Defense sector saw Lockheed Martin (LMT) decline -0.58%. This divergence highlights ONDS’ unique positioning in autonomous systems, contrasting with traditional defense contractors. The sector’s mixed performance underscores Ondas’ differentiation through integrated drone-ground-cyber solutions, which align with accelerating demand for scalable, mission-critical autonomy in defense and infrastructure.

ONDL ETF and High-Leverage Options Signal Aggressive Bullish Play
• MACD: 0.292 (bullish), Signal Line: 0.312 (neutral), Histogram: -0.019 (bearish divergence)
• RSI: 48.43 (neutral), Bollinger Bands: $9.81 (upper), $8.65 (middle), $7.49 (lower)
• 200D MA: $4.24 (far below), 30D MA: $8.28 (below current price)

ONDS is trading above its 30D MA ($8.28) and 200D MA ($4.24), with RSI at 48.43 indicating neutrality. The Bollinger Bands suggest a potential breakout above $9.81. The Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ONDS ETF (ONDL), up 27.95%, offers leveraged exposure to continued momentum. For options, two contracts stand out:

1. ONDS20260109C10.5
• Strike: $10.50, Exp: 2026-01-09, IV: 116.66%, Leverage: 15.87%, Delta: 0.4726, Theta: -0.0563, Gamma: 0.2029, Turnover: 489,992
• IV (high volatility), Leverage (aggressive), Delta (moderate sensitivity), Gamma (high sensitivity to price swings). A 5% upside to $10.77 would yield a payoff of $0.27 per contract, offering 5.6% return on $4.80 premium.

2. ONDS20260109C12
• Strike: $12.00, Exp: 2026-01-09, IV: 122.42%, Leverage: 40.63%, Delta: 0.2372, Theta: -0.0407, Gamma: 0.1501, Turnover: 414,175
• IV (extreme volatility), Leverage (very aggressive), Delta (low sensitivity), Gamma (moderate sensitivity). A 5% upside to $10.77 would yield a payoff of $0.00 (strike not reached), but the high leverage makes it ideal for a breakout above $12.00.

Action: Aggressive bulls should consider ONDS20260109C10.5 for a balanced risk-reward profile, while ONDL offers leveraged exposure to a potential $11.70 52-week high breakout.

Backtest Ondas Holdings Stock Performance
The backtest of ONDS's performance after a 14% intraday increase from 2022 to now shows favorable results. The 3-Day win rate is 50.11%, the 10-Day win rate is 50.11%, and the 30-Day win rate is 55.53%. The maximum return during the backtest period was 22.55%, with a maximum return day at 59.

Bullish Momentum Unlikely to Subside: Position for 2026 Expansion
Ondas Holdings’ 14.07% surge is underpinned by $10 million in new orders and a $16.4 million counter-UAS win, validating its multi-domain autonomy strategy. With a 2026 revenue target of $110 million and a prime contractor role in a border-protection tender, the stock’s momentum appears sustainable. The Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ONDS ETF (ONDL), up 27.95%, and high-leverage options like ONDS20260109C10.5 offer aggressive entry points. Sector leader Lockheed Martin (LMT), down -0.58%, highlights ONDS’ differentiation in autonomous systems. Act now: Buy ONDL for leveraged exposure or ONDS20260109C10.5 for a breakout play above $10.50.