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Olin 2025 Q1 Earnings Net Income Plummets 97.5%

Daily EarningsFriday, May 2, 2025 7:12 am ET
18min read
OLN Trend
Olin (OLN) reported its fiscal 2025 Q1 earnings on May 01st, 2025. The company missed expectations with its earnings per share (EPS) of $0.01, significantly below the forecasted $0.211. Olin's guidance indicates a challenging year ahead, with an expected 150 basis point decline in gross margin year-over-year for 2025. By Q4, the gross margin is anticipated to return to levels seen at the start of the year. Despite the earnings decline, olin plans to improve content and expand into new subjects, leveraging AI advancements to enhance product offerings.

Revenue

In 2025 Q1, Olin's total revenue slightly increased by 0.5% to $1.64 billion compared to the same period last year. The Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls segment generated $924.50 million, while the Epoxy division contributed $331.70 million. The Winchester segment added $388 million to the total sales. This revenue distribution highlights the varied performance across Olin's business segments.

Earnings/Net Income

Olin's earnings per share (EPS) saw a substantial drop of 97.6%, falling to $0.01 in 2025 Q1 from $0.41 in 2024 Q1. The net income also decreased significantly to $1.20 million, a 97.5% decline from $47.80 million in the previous year. This sharp decline in EPS and net income indicates a challenging quarter for Olin.

Post-Earnings Price Action Review

The impact of Olin's earnings report metrics on its stock price has historically been positive, with a backtested period from May 1, 2020, to May 1, 2025, showing a maximum return of 15.04% on the earnings release date. This suggests that metrics such as revenue, net income, and EPS can significantly influence stock prices. Positive surprises in these metrics have the potential to lead to stock price appreciation. However, Olin's recent performance has been disappointing, with a notable decline in net income and EPS, which might impact investor sentiment and stock performance negatively. Despite this, historical data suggests that positive earnings surprises can result in substantial gains for the stock.

CEO Commentary

Luis von Ahn - Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer emphasized the strong performance of Duolingo, highlighting a 49% year-over-year growth in daily active users (DAUs) and 3 million DAUs for math and music, both growing faster than language learning. He stressed the transformative impact of AI on content creation and user engagement, stating, “we are really going all in as a company on AI,” which is expected to enhance language learning and product offerings. The CEO expressed optimism about the company’s future, noting that “there is a lot of room for that” in global language learning, while indicating that the journey for new subjects would take time.

Guidance

The company expects a 150 basis point decline in gross margin year-over-year for 2025, with a sequential decline of 50 basis points in Q2. By Q4, gross margin is anticipated to return to the levels at the start of the year. Duolingo also aims to continue improving content for existing language offerings and expanding into new subjects, with plans to enhance features driven by AI, although specific revenue or EPS targets were not disclosed.

Additional News

Within three weeks of May 1st, 2025, Olin made strategic moves, including the completion of the acquisition of AMMO Inc.'s small caliber ammunition assets. This transaction, valued at $75 million, integrates new manufacturing capabilities into Olin's Winchester business, focusing on high-margin specialty calibers. Olin also announced plans to offer $600 million in senior notes due 2033, intended to refinance existing debt and support overall liquidity. Furthermore, the company enhanced its leadership team with the appointment of retired U.S. Army General Edward M. Daly to its Board of Directors. General Daly's extensive expertise in defense procurement and logistics is expected to provide strategic insight to Olin's growth across its chemical products and ammunition businesses.

Ask Aime: Olin's Q1 earnings miss expectations, impacting stock price and investor sentiment.

Comments

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SoggyBeluga
05/02
Holy!OLN demonstrated textbook-perfect bottom and peak confirmation signals via Peak Seeker framework,with subsequent price movements validating 83.6% predictive accuracy
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factsandgrow
05/02
@SoggyBeluga Agreed, impressive prediction.
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Aimer1980
05/02
@SoggyBeluga What's your take on OLN's guidance?
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